Pick details
| MATCHUP | Houston Cougars | Colorado Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-2 | 3-6 |
| Spread | -9.5 -108 | +9.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -375 | +295 |
| Total | Over 51.5 (-102) | Under 51.5 (-118) |
| Where | Folsom Field, Boulder, CO | |
| When | Friday, November 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:15 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Houston vs Colorado Prediction
I’m not excited to lay a bunch of points with Houston, who are 3-6 ATS this season. Boulder is still a tough place to play usually, and there’s energy at night. I wouldn’t be shocked if Colorado competes and drags this into an ugly fourth quarter. It’s still Houston or pass for me. Despite the lack of covers, Houston is comfortably the better and more balanced team. Colorado has a major quarterback issue and is 103rd in rushing offense and 124th in scoring offense. Colorado’s defense also can’t stop the run, and it’s now going up against a top-20 Houston rushing offense.
On paper, Houston should win this game by double digits. I’ll lay the points with the Cougars on Friday night if forced to pick. This just feels like an ugly game and a bad way to spend a Friday night.
Houston Cougars Betting Preview
The Houston Cougars beat Cincinnati, beat Utah, and they play West Virginia next. The Houston Cougars have won 5 of their last 6 games. Conner Weigman is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,280 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Weigman has been sacked 10 times this season. Amare Thomas has 698 yards and 8 touchdowns on 47 catches. Patrick Overmyer has 498 yards and 7 touchdowns on 43 catches. Trent Walker has 439 yards and 2 touchdowns on 32 catches.
The Houston Cougars’ ground game is averaging 207.7 yards per contest, and Makhi Hughes leads the way with 606 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 21.3 points and 360.2 yards per game. Kentrell Webb leads Houston with 50 tackles. Ashton Porter has 3 sacks. Will James has 2 interceptions.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview
The Colorado Buffaloes beat Kansas State, lost to Arizona State, and they play Cincinnati next. Colorado has lost 6 of its last 7 games. Isaac Wilson is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 1,412 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Wilson has been sacked 12 times this season. Joseph Williams has 853 yards and 6 touchdowns on 58 catches. DeAndre Moore Jr. has 526 yards and 3 touchdowns on 37 catches. Quanell Farrakhan Jr. has 285 yards on 24 catches.
The Colorado Buffaloes’ ground game is averaging 131.6 yards per contest, and JaQuail Smith leads the way with 384 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Colorado is allowing 28.3 points and 376.9 yards per game. Gideon ESPN Lampron leads Colorado with 99 tackles. Lamont Lester Jr. has 5 sacks. Randon Fontenette has 1 interception.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Houston has lost three of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has won each of Houston’s last three games.
- Houston has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Colorado has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams at Folsom Field.
Why the Houston Cougars will win
- Colorado has lost each of its last 14 November games as an underdog.
- Houston has won each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Colorado has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Texas.
- Houston has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games in November.
- Colorado has lost the first half in 12 of its last 14 November games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Houston’s last 12 games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Colorado’s last six games at Folsom Field have gone OVER the total points line.
Colorado Buffaloes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Joseph Williams leads Colorado for receptions (58) this season.
Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Conner Weigman ranks 8th among FBS players for passing touchdowns (22) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-5.1).
- Colorado ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.7).
- Houston ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.2).
- Houston ranks 7th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
