Oct 3, 2026; Tempe, Arizona, USA; Arizona State Sun Devils quarterback Cutter Boley (8) looks to throw the ball against the Baylor Bears during the first half at Mountain America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Anna Carrington-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Hawai’i vs Arizona State Prediction 10/10/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Hawai'i Warriors Arizona State Sun Devils
Team Records 1-4 2-2
Spread +20.5 -105 -20.5 -115
Moneyline +900 -1600
Total Over 50.5 (-110) Under 50.5 (-110)
Where Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
When Saturday, October 10, 2026
Time 10:30 PM EDT
TV FS1

In this article, we will formulate a Hawaii vs Arizona State Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Arizona State Sun Devils Preview


Arizona State has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 55-19 home win against Baylor. They will face Texas Tech and Kansas State next. Offensively, Arizona State averages 33.2 points per game, ranking 55th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.8 points per game, which is 121st. Arizona State averages 421.8 total yards per game (272.8 passing and 149 rushing), while allowing 355.3 total yards per game (154.3 rushing and 201 passing).

Cutter Boley leads Arizona State with 1,040 passing yards with 61.4% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Kyson Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 261, while Reed Harris has a team-high 26 receptions for 499 receiving yards. Defensively, Owen Long has a team-high 38 total tackles (19 of them solo), while C.J. Fite leads the team with 2 sacks.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview


Hawaii has a 1-4 record and are coming off a 16-20 home loss against San José State. They will face New Mexico and Northern Illinois next. Offensively, Hawaii averages 17.6 points per game, ranking 129th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.8 points per game, which is 78th. Hawai’i averages 361 total yards per game (275 passing and 86 rushing), while allowing 384.6 total yards per game (158.2 rushing and 226.4 passing).

Micah Alejado leads Hawaii with 1,361 passing yards with 61.1% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. DeVon Rice leads the team in rushing yards with 276, while Kainoa Carvalho has a team-high 22 receptions for 249 receiving yards. Defensively, Kona Moore has a team-high 38 total tackles (23 of them solo), while Julian Smith leads the team with 2 sacks.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Trends: Week 6


Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Hawaii has lost each of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
  • Arizona State has won each of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Mountain America Stadium.
  • Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in eight of Hawaii’s last 10 games.
  • Hawaii has lost the first half in each of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
  • Arizona State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Mountain America Stadium.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

  • Arizona State has lost three of its last four October games as a home favorite.
  • Hawaii has won four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
  • Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Hawaii has covered the spread in three of its last four games in October.
  • Arizona State has lost the first half in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Hawaii’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Twelve of Arizona State’s last 15 games against non-conference opponents at Mountain America Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arizona State Sun Devils Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Reed Harris ranks 11th amongst FBS players for receiving yards (499) this season.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Sean Olvera-Harle ranks T8th amongst FBS players for made field goals (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Arizona State ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-8.5).
  • Arizona State has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Hawaii ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (86.0).
  • Hawaii ranks 135th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.4).

Hawaii vs Arizona State Prediction


In this Hawaii vs Arizona State prediction, Arizona State is coming as -22.5 home favorites. Hawaii has been terrible this season with just one win, which has been at home and is also 1-4 against the spread. They have a bottom-10 offense so far and will be facing a strong Arizona State offense that is 55th. Hawaii has scored 32 points in its three of its last four games combined and I don’t see them how they can keep this one close. Arizona State is looking to bounce back after a bad 36-point home loss, so I will lay the big number with them in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arizona State -22.5

Hot Cappers