Pick details
| MATCHUP | Georgia Southern Eagles | Georgia State Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Spread | -6 -112 | +6 -108 |
| Moneyline | -225 | +185 |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-110) | Under 56.5 (-110) |
| Where | Center Parc Stadium, Atlanta, GA | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Prediction
In this Georgia Southern vs Georgia State prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Georgia Southern is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season but Georgia Southern has been in better form with three consecutive wins and an almost perfect 8-1 ATS record this season. On the flip side, Georgia State is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread in its last four games and while they have an elite offense, they have scored just 20 and 22 points in two of their last four games and will face a red-hot Eagles defense that has held its opponents into just 31 points across their last three games. Take Georgia Southern and lay the points on the road in this one.
Georgia State Panthers Preview
Georgia State has a 5-4 record and a 2-3 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 39-23 road win against Appalachian State and will face Marshall and Louisiana next.
Offensively, Georgia State averages 34.4 points per game, ranking 26th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.2 points per game, which is 82nd. Georgia State averages 431.7 total yards per game (224.8 passing and 206.9 rushing), while allowing 357.8 total yards per game (129.7 rushing and 228.1 passing). They average 68.2 plays per game and 6.3 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.6 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on defense. Georgia State averages 21.9 first downs per game on offense and 18.6 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.4 turnovers per game and forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.
Cameran Brown leads Georgia State with 1,356 passing yards with 66.3% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Lanear McCrary Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 526, while Rodshaun Dorsey has a team-high 476 receiving yards and 29 receptions. Defensively, Jaydon Hood has a team-high 50 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Xavier Esqillion leads the team with 9 sacks.
Georgia Southern Eagles Preview
Georgia Southern has a 5-4 record and a 4-1 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 49-13 home win against Marshall and will face Troy and Louisiana Tech next.
Offensively, Georgia Southern averages 26.6 points per game, ranking 79th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19.7 points per game, which is 30th. Georgia Southern averages 407.4 total yards per game (282.8 passing and 124.7 rushing), while allowing 324.6 total yards per game (126.7 rushing and 197.9 passing). They average 68.9 plays per game and 5.9 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.3 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on defense. Georgia Southern averages 22.1 first downs per game on offense and 18.8 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 0.8 turnovers per game and forcing 1.6 turnovers per game.
Max Johnson leads Georgia Southern with 2,195 passing yards with 68.4% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. David Mbadinga leads the team in rushing yards with 273, while Alex Taylor has a team-high 529 receiving yards and 38 receptions. Defensively, Brandon Tyson has a team-high 51 total tackles (23 of them solo), while Anthony Bynum leads the team with 5 sacks.
Georgia Southern Eagles @ Georgia State Panthers Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Georgia State Panthers will win
- Georgia Southern has lost four of its last six November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Georgia State has won four of its last five games in Georgia.
- Georgia State has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win
- Georgia State has lost each of its last six November games at Center Parc Credit Union Stadium.
- Georgia Southern has won each of its last eight games as a favorite in Georgia.
- Georgia Southern has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite.
- Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games at Center Parc Credit Union Stadium.
- Georgia State has lost the first half in each of its last four November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Georgia State’s last seven November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Georgia Southern’s last six November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Tonk Dorsey leads the Sun Belt Conference for receiving touchdowns (9) this season.
Georgia Southern Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Max Johnson ranks 5th amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia State ranks 18th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (8.3).
- Georgia State is one of 18 FBS teams to score 20+ points in every game this season.
- Georgia Southern ranks 16th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (282.8).
- Georgia Southern ranks T17th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (75.0).
