Sep 19, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA;  Buffalo Bulls running back Messiah Burch (4) runs with he ball before being tackled by Penn State Nittany Lions defensive end Yvan Kemajou (19) during the second quarter of the game at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Bowling Green vs Buffalo Prediction 10/24/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Bowling Green vs Buffalo Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Bowling Green Falcons Buffalo Bulls
Team Records 2-5 4-3
Spread +3 -108 -3 -112
Moneyline +136 -162
Total Over 44.5 (-118) Under 44.5 (-102)
Where Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY
When Saturday, October 24, 2026
Time 03:30 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Broadview Stadium. Here’s a Bowling Green vs Buffalo Prediction. This article will include a Bowling Green vs. Buffalo Pick.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons beat Sacramento State, lost to Ball State, and they play Western Michigan next. Bowling Green has lost 5 of its last 7 games. Jay Kastantin is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,201 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jeremiah Scoby and Brennan Ridley have combined for 526 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Winn Sharp has 20 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons’ ground game is averaging 106 yards per contest, and Austyn Dendy leads the way with 332 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 29.6 points and 383.9 yards per game. Dorian Pringle leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 66 tackles, Myles Bradley has 7 sacks, and Drey Braxton has 1 interception.

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bulls beat Toledo and UMass, and they play Miami OH next. Buffalo has won 3 of its last 4 games. Jason Wright is completing 48.2 percent of his passes for 860 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chance Morrow and Dwayne Early Jr. have combined for 609 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Clint Walker has 20 receptions.

The Buffalo Bulls’ ground game is averaging 164.9 yards per contest, and Messiah Burch leads the way with 661 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25.6 points and 382.7 yards per game. SaVeon Brown leads the Buffalo Bulls with 59 tackles, Logan Goodwin has 2 sacks, and Kobi Blackwell has 1 interception.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

  • Buffalo has won four of its last five games after coming off overtime.
  • Bowling Green has lost seven of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last three games.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • Bowling Green has won each of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Buffalo has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents at Broadview Stadium.
  • Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Bowling Green has covered the spread in each of its last four October games as an underdog.
  • Buffalo has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Broadview Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Bowling Green’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Buffalo’s last six games as a favorite against teams from Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.

Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Chance Morrow leads the league for targets (78) this season.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Myles Bradley/Andrew Zock lead the Mid-American Conference for sacks (7.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Buffalo ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-5.3).
  • Buffalo ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.4).
  • Bowling Green ranks T136th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.4).
  • Bowling Green ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.4).

Bowling Green vs Buffalo Prediction

Don’t look now, but Buffalo is playing good ball all of a sudden, which includes three straight covers and two straight wins. One of those wins was an upset over Toledo as near three touchdown underdogs. Bowling Green just lost last week to Ball State as a touchdown favorite. Bowling Green is awful on both sides of the ball and, outside of a win over Miami OH, has looked underwhelming. You can argue Buffalo should be an even bigger favorite. I’ll lay the small number with the Bulls.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Buffalo -3

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