Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Prediction 10/17/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate an Arkansas vs Vanderbilt prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 17th at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 2-4 (0-3) this season after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 24-17 last week. Arkansas led 14-7 in the third quarter and they were tied 17-17 in the fourth, but they allowed a touchdown with 1:57 left for the loss. The Razorbacks were out gained by a total of 414-288, went 2-11 on third down, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. KJ Jackson threw for 155 yards and one touchdown, while Chris Marshall caught seven passes for 56 yards. Cam Settles rushed eight times for 50 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Arkansas lost to Texas A&M by a score of 34-7, but did beat Tulsa by a score of 34-6 before that. The Razorbacks have scored 19.3 points per game with 228.2 passing yards and 99.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.7 points against per game this season. KJ Jackson has thrown for 1,193 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions this season.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 3-3 (0-3) this year after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 52-17 last week. Vanderbilt trailed 42-3 at halftime, but they did manage to win the second half 14-10 in the ugly loss. The Commodores were out gained by a total of 409-343, went 9-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Jared Curtis threw for 222 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Ja’Cory Thomas caught three passes for 60 yards and one score. Makhilyn Young rushed nine times for 37 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Vanderbilt lost to Georgia by a score of 38-14 and Auburn by a score of 21-15. The Commodores have scored 24.0 points per game with 228.7 passing yards and 119.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.5 points against per game this season. Jared Curtis has thrown for 968 yards with five touchdowns and five interceptions this year.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

• Arkansas has lost each of its last eight road games.
• The favorite has won each of Vanderbilt’s last 15 games at FirstBank Stadium.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of Arkansas’ last five games.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last four road games.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Vanderbilt has lost each of its last three games.
• Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has covered the spread in five of its last six games in Tennessee.
• Arkansas has won the first half in four of its last five games in Tennessee.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Arkansas’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Vanderbilt’s last seven games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Sedrick Alexander leads Vanderbilt for touchdowns (5) this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Chris Marshall leads the Southeastern Conference for targets (65) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Vanderbilt ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.0).
• Vanderbilt ranks 126th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (12.0).
• Arkansas ranks 129th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (7.2).
• Arkansas ranks T127th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.2).

Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Prediction

Vanderbilt comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 90 points in their last two. The Commodores have scored 17 or fewer in those three games, so they have struggled on both sides of the ball. Arkansas has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 34+ points in three of those four losses. The Razorbacks have scored 17 or fewer in four of those five, so both teams have been brutal offensively. Both teams are pretty bad, but Arkansas did show some life against Tennessee last week. Take the Razorbacks here.

David Racey's Pick: Arkansas +6