Air Force vs Northern Illinois Prediction 10/10/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate an Air Force vs Northern Illinois prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 10th at Huskie Stadium in Dekalb, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup. 

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Air Force Falcons are 3-1 (1-1) this season after they defeated Navy by a score of 14-9 last week. Air Force led 14-3 at halftime and they were able to get the low scoring win, but didn’t score any points in the second half. The Falcons out gained Navy by a total of 270-253, went 9-18 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Liam Szarka threw for 82 yards and two interceptions, while Jonah Dawson caught three passes for 39 yards. Szarka also led the rushing attack with 81 yards and two scores on 25 carries in the game. 

Prior to that win, Air Force defeated Nevada by a score of 36-33, but lost to North Dakota State by a score of 38-32 before that. The Falcons have scored 29.0 points per game with 93.0 passing yards and 297.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.0 points against per game this season. Liam Szarka was their starting QB and leading rusher, but he was hurt last week and is out for the season. 

Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Preview

The Northern Illinois Huskies are 0-4 (0-0) this year after they lost to Georgia State by a score of 35-14 in their last game. Northern Illinois trailed 21-14 at halftime and they were shutout in the second half for the loss. The Huskies out gained their opponent by a total of 432-342, went 3-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Taron Dickens threw for 320 yards and one touchdown, while DeAree Rogers caught nine passes for 107 yards and one score. Telly Johnson Jr rushed 15 times for 85 yards and one touchdown in the game. 

Prior to that loss, Northern Illinois lost to Arizona by a score of 42-17 and Illinois State by a score of 28-24. The Huskies have scored 13.8 points per game with 221.0 passing yards and 79.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 36.3 points against per game this season. Taron Dickens has thrown for 837 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions this year. 

Why the Northern Illinois Huskies will win

• Northern Illinois has won eight of its last 11 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Air Force has lost each of its last three October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Northern Illinois has lost each of its last 11 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Air Force has won four of its last five games.
• Northern Illinois has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 12 games at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of Northern Illinois’ last six games at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium.
• The favorite has won the first half in nine of Northern Illinois’ last 10 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Air Force’s last four October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Northern Illinois’ last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Northern Illinois Huskies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Yassine Falke ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Will Duncan ranks 6th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Northern Illinois ranks 138th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (40.0).
• Northern Illinois ranks 137th among FBS teams for points per game this season (13.8).
• Air Force ranks 2nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (35:58).
• Air Force ranks T2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (90.9).

Air Force vs Northern Illinois Prediction 

Northern Illinois comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season and they have allowed 35+ points in three of their four games. Air Force is 3-1 through four games, but just lost their starting QB, who was also their leading rusher. The Falcons have scored 32+ points three of their last four games, but I expect the offense to slow down here. I know NIU has been brutal, but I will take the points at home, especially with the Air Force QB situation.

David Racey's Pick: Northern Illinois +7.5