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Yale vs Texas A&M Prediction 3/20/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Texas A&M (22-10) vs Yale (22-7)
March 20, 2025 at 07:25 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas A&M -7.5 — Over/Under: 139.5
The Yale Bulldogs are facing the Texas A&M Aggies on Thursday, March 20th at the Ball Arena, in this NCAA Tournament first-round matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction. We will examine:
The Texas A&M Aggies’ recent form and player performance
The Yale Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Yale Bulldogs
Recent betting trends in games played between the Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies game
Texas A&M Aggies Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies have a 22-10 record this season and were placed 5th in the SEC. The Aggies are coming off an 89-94 loss to Texas. The Aggies are 16-14-2 against the spread, and 13-19 in over/under.
Offensively, Texas A&M is averaging 74.3 points per game, which ranks 183rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.9 points per game (47th). The Aggies shoot 41.6% from the field (322nd) and 31.1% from beyond the arc (332nd). The Aggies shoot 69.5% from the free-throw line (272nd) and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game, which is the 13th-best in the nation.
Wade Taylor leads Texas A&M in scoring with an average of 15.2 points, 3 rebounds, and a team-high 4.3 assists, while Zhuric Phelps adds 14.3 points and 5 rebounds per game.
Yale Bulldogs Preview
The Yale Bulldogs have a 22-7 record this season and finished in the first place of the Ivy. Yale is coming off a 90-84 win over Cornell in the Ivy Final on Sunday, and they won the conference. The Bulldogs are 18-10 against the spread, and 14-14 in over/under.
Offensively, Yale is averaging 81.7 points per game, which is the 21st-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.7 points per game (106th). The Bulldogs shoot 49% from the field, which is the 12th-best in the nation, and 38.8% from beyond the arc, which is the 15th-best nationally. The Bulldogs shoot 73.2% from the free-throw line (132nd) and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (25th).
John Poulakidas leads Yale in scoring with an average of 19 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Nick Townsend adds 15.5 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 8.5 and in assists made with 4 per game.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has won each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
- Yale has lost 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Yale has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Yale Bulldogs will win
- Yale has won 16 of its last 17 games.
- Texas A&M has lost each of its last three night games after coming off overtime.
- Texas A&M has lost the first half in five of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Yale’s last 15 night games has produced a total of 140+ points.
- Eight of Texas A&M’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 142+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas A&M ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (5.5).
- Texas A&M ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.0%).
- Yale ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (30.2).
- Yale ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.9).
Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction
In this Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Texas A&M is coming as -7-point favorites. This line makes absolutely no sense, as both teams have the same number of wins this season, and Yale has fewer defeats and more wins away from home. The Bulldogs are also better offensively, scoring 7.4 points per game more than the Aggies, while being a little worse defensively, allowing 1.8 points more. Yale boasts elite shooting percentages, ranking in the top 15 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage, while on the other hand, Texas A&M ranks in the bottom 40 in both shooting categories.
The Aggies have not been in good form lately, as they are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 2-5 against the spread. Yale is 9-1 in their last 10 games, but 5-5 against the spread. Given both teams’ season stats and recent form, there is huge value with the underdog in this matchup. Yale is capable of winning this outright, so I will gladly take the +7.5 points in my back pocket with the Bulldogs.