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Xavier vs Texas Prediction 3/19/25 College Basketball Picks

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Texas (19-15) vs Xavier (21-11)

March 19, 2025 at 09:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas +2.5 — Over/Under: 151.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Xavier Musketeers and Texas Longhorns meet Wednesday in the college basketball First Four at the UD Arena. Here’s a Xavier vs Texas Prediction. This article will include a Xavier vs Texas Pick.

Xavier Musketeers Betting Preview 

The Xavier Musketeers recently played Creighton, Butler, Providence, and Marquette. Xavier has won eight of its last 10 games and hasn’t lost two straight since January 3-7.  

The Xavier Musketeers are averaging 77.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 70.3 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Zach Freemantle is averaging 17.3 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Ryan Conwell is averaging 16.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. Dailyn Swain is the third double-digit scorer and Dayvion McKnight is dishing 4.3 assists. The Xavier Musketeers are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Xavier Musketeers are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview 

The Texas Longhorns recently played Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, and Tennessee. Texas has lost eight of its last 12 games since being 15-7 on the season. 

The Texas Longhorns are averaging 78.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Tre Johnson is averaging 19.8 points and 3 rebounds, while Arthur Kaluma is averaging 12.4 points and 7.6 rebounds. Jordan Pope is the third double-digit scorer and Tramon Mark is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Texas Longhorns are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Texas Longhorns are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Xavier has lost three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
  • Xavier has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games against the Southeastern Conference.

Why the Xavier Musketeers will win

  • Xavier has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas has lost six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas has lost the first half in each of its last three games against the Big East Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Xavier’s last eight night games against the Southeastern Conference have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Twenty-eight of Texas’ last 34 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.8).
  • Xavier ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.0).
  • Xavier ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.8).

Xavier vs Texas Injury Report

Texas doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Xavier will continue to be without Lassina Traore and Trey Green.

Xavier vs Texas Prediction

Many aren’t all that high on Texas after losses in eight of its last 12 games. It’s going to be interesting to see which Texas team shows up. With that said, I believe there’s value with Texas and the points, as the Longhorns are a solid team when they’re right. Texas is also battle-tested playing in the Big 12. Texas is capable of defending at an above-average level and is top-100 in scoring offense, offensive field goal percentage, and offensive three-point percentage. Xavier has some highlights this season with solid wins in the Big East, but it’s also been hit or miss defensively. I kind of like Texas to win this game outright, as I want the decent team that everybody has written off. A buy low, sell high situation. Give me the Longhorns and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas +2.5

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