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Wyoming vs Fresno State Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Fresno State (5-24) vs Wyoming (12-18)

March 4, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State +1.5 — Over/Under: 138.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Wyoming Cowboys are visiting the Fresno State Bulldogs on Tuesday, March 4th at the Save Mart Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Wyoming Cowboys vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction. We will examine:

The Fresno State Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance

The Wyoming Cowboys’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Fresno State Bulldogs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Wyoming Cowboys

Recent betting trends in games played between the Wyoming Cowboys and Fresno State Bulldogs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Wyoming Cowboys vs Fresno State Bulldogs game

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 5-24 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Mountain West. The Bulldogs are coming off a 61-66 loss to Boise State. The Bulldogs are 16-11-2 against the spread, and 17-12 in over/under while having a 4-9 home record.

Offensively, Fresno State is averaging 71.1 points per game, which ranks 262nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 80.9 points per game (354th). The Bulldogs shoot 40.7% from the field (351st) and 31.5% from beyond the arc (308th). The Bulldogs shoot 69.5% from the free-throw line (265th) and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game (214th).

Jalen Weaver leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 12.5 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zaon Collins adds 12 points, 4.1 rebounds, and a team-high 4.6 assists per game.

Wyoming Cowboys Preview

The Wyoming Cowboys have a 12-18 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Mountain West. Wyoming is coming off a 69-72 loss to San Diego State. The Cowboys are 14-13-2 against the spread, and 15-13-1 in over/under while having a 3-9 road record. 

Offensively, Wyoming is averaging 67.6 points per game, which is 325th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game (176th). The Cowboys shoot 44.3% from the field (215th) and 35.2% from beyond the arc (113th). The Cowboys shoot 65.4% from the free-throw line (349th) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (205th).

Obi Agbim leads Wyoming in scoring with an average of 17.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists, while Jordan Nesbitt adds 8.6 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Wyoming has lost eight of its last nine games.
  • Fresno State has won each of its last three night games against Wyoming at Save Mart Center.
  • Wyoming has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Wyoming Cowboys will win

  • Fresno State has lost each of its last 11 games.
  • Wyoming has won four of its last five games against Fresno State.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Fresno State’s last 14 night games have produced a total of 139+ points.
  • Four of Wyoming’s last five games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (41.1).
  • Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (30.3).
  • Wyoming ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (4.1).
  • Wyoming ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (54.6).

Wyoming Cowboys vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction

Wyoming is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against Fresno State and is 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Fresno State, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Wyoming won 83-72 in overtime at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Wyoming Cowboys vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, Wyoming is coming as -1.5 road favorites. Wyoming is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but they have been very bad on the road. Fresno State has been on a free fall with 10 consecutive losses, but is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4, while Wyoming has been struggling as well, with a 1-8 record in their last 9 games and 1-4 against the spread. I like the value of the home dog in this matchup, given both teams’ recent form. Take the Fresno State Bulldogs and the plus points at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +1.5

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