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Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks

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Michigan State (27-5) vs Wisconsin (25-8)

March 15, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan State -2.5 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Wisconsin vs Michigan State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 15th at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers are 25-8 (13-7) this season after they defeated UCLA by a score of 86-70 in their last game. Wisconsin led 48-29 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite being outscored in the second half. The Badgers shot 51.7% from the field, 59.4% on three pointers, and 53.8% on free throws in the game. John Tonje led Wisconsin with 26 points and nine rebounds, while John Blackwell added 18 points and five rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Badgers defeated Northwestern by a score of 70-63, but did lose to Penn State by a score of 86-75 before that. Wisconsin has won three of their last four games and they finished tied for fourth in the Big Ten standings with a 13-7 record. Wisconsin has scored 80.4 points per game and they have allowed 70.7 points against per game, while also averaging 36.2 rebounds and 14.6 assists per game this season. John Tonje is averaging 18.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game, while John Blackwell is averaging 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game this year. Wisconsin is shooting 45.9% from the field, 83.4% on free throws, and 34.9% on three pointers this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 27-5 (17-3) this year after they defeated Oregon by a score of 74-64 in their last game. Michigan State led 42-32 at halftime and they were able to maintain that lead to secure the win, despite some shaky free throw shooting down the stretch. The Spartans shot 46.3% from the field, 46.7% on three pointers, and 58.6% on free throws in the game. Jase Richardson led Michigan State with 17 points and three rebounds, while Jaden Akins added 12 points and three rebounds in the win. 

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Prior to that game, the Spartans defeated Michigan by a score of 79-62 and Iowa by a score of 91-84. Michigan State has won eight games in a row and they finished first in the Big Ten standings with a 17-3 record. Michigan State has scored 78.4 points per game and they have allowed 67.0 points against per game, while also averaging 40.0 rebounds and 17.1 assists per game this season. Jaden Akins is averaging 12.9 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Jase Richardson is averaging 11.6 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Michigan State is shooting 46.3% from the field, 78.9% on free throws, and 30.2% on three pointers this season. 

Why Michigan State will beat Wisconsin

  • Michigan State has won each of its last eight games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Wisconsin has lost five of its last six day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Wisconsin has lost the first half in nine of its last 12 day games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Michigan State’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Wisconsin’s last eight games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Michigan State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.0).
  • Michigan State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.9%).
  • Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (118.0).
  • Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (103.7).

David Racey is 42-24 (60%) in College Basketball over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction 

Michigan State comes into this matchup looking to extend their eight game winning streak and they have played very strong defense in recent weeks. The Spartans have allowed 64 points or fewer in four of their last five games, which includes a 71-62 win over Wisconsin on March 2nd. The Badgers have won three of their last four games, but they are just 4-3 in their last seven. Wisconsin has been a little inconsistent over the last three weeks, while Michigan State has ran through a very tough part of their schedule with zero losses. This should be another great battle in the Big Ten, but I have to side with MSU to get the win. 

David Racey's Pick: Michigan State ML

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