SMU Mustangs guard Boopie Miller (2) defends Clemson Tigers guard Efrem Johnson (4) Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, during the NCAA men’s basketball game at Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Carolina. Clemson Tigers won 74-70.
Alex Martin/Greenville News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Virginia Tech vs SMU Prediction 1/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Virginia Tech Hokies SMU Mustangs
Team Records 13-5 13-4
Where Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX
When Wednesday, January 14, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPNU

The Virginia Tech Hokies and SMU Mustangs meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at the Moody Coliseum. Here’s a Virginia Tech vs SMU Prediction. This article will include a Virginia Tech vs SMU Pick.

Virginia Tech Hokies Betting Preview

The Virginia Tech Hokies lost to Stanford, beat Cal, and they play Notre Dame next. Virginia Tech has won 7 of its last 9 games.

The Virginia Tech Hokies are averaging 82.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 73.8 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Amani Hansberry is averaging 16.1 points and 9.1 rebounds, while Neoklis Avdalas is averaging 14.5 points and 5 assists. Tobi Lawal is the third double-digit scorer, and Ben Hammond is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Virginia Tech Hokies are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Tech Hokies are allowing 29.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs lost to Clemson and Duke, and they play Virginia next. SMU has won 10 of its last 14 games.

The SMU Mustangs are averaging 89.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 77.1 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Boopie Miller is averaging 20.6 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Jaron Pierre Jr. is averaging 17.4 points and 1.6 assists. BJ Edwards is the third double-digit scorer and Corey Washington is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The SMU Mustangs are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The SMU Mustangs are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won each of its last 10 home games.
  • Virginia Tech has lost each of its last four night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Virginia Tech has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the Virginia Tech Hokies will win

  • Virginia Tech has won five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • SMU has lost three of its last four games against Conference opponents.
  • SMU has lost the first half in each of its last three night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Virginia Tech’s last 12 night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
  • Each of SMU’s last eight games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) have produced a total of 161+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • SMU ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.7%).
  • SMU ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (50.2%).
  • Virginia Tech ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.3%).
  • Virginia Tech ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (10.2).

Virginia Tech vs SMU Prediction

SMU is the more talented team with the more explosive offense and is undefeated at home. I understand why SMU is favored. However, Virginia Tech has been disrespected this season by oddsmakers but has held its own, and it makes the Hokies worth a look as an underdog. Virginia Tech beat South Carolina as a dog and has a strong recent upset win over Virginia. It’s not always perfect, but Virginia Tech can be sneaky dangerous when shots are falling. Virginia Tech also defends the outside shot well, which makes it easier to hang around. I’ll take a shot with the points on Wednesday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Virginia Tech +7.5

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