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Vermont vs UMBC Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
UMBC (13-17) vs Vermont (18-11)
March 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: UMBC +4.5 — Over/Under: 142.5
The Vermont Catamounts and UMBC Retrievers meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. Here’s a Vermont vs UMBC Prediction. This article will include a Vermont vs UMBC Pick.
Vermont Catamounts Betting PreviewÂ
The Vermont Catamounts beat UMASS Lowell and NJIT, and they play Albany next. Vermont has won seven straight games and looks like an America East contender.
The Vermont Catamounts are averaging 66.7 points on 43.1 percent shooting and allowing 63.9 points on 41.9 percent shooting. TJ Hurley is averaging 15.5 points and 2.4 rebounds, while TJ Long is averaging 11.1 points and 1.1 assists. Ileri Ayo-Faleye is the third double-digit scorer and Shamir Bogues is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Vermont Catamounts are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Vermont Catamounts are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.9 rebounds per game.
UMBC Retrievers Betting PreviewÂ
The UMBC Retrievers are coming off a win over NJIT and a loss to Albany. It’s senior night for a UMBC team that has six seniors on its roster.Â
The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 80.5 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 78.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Bryce Johnson is averaging 16.7 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Marcus Banks Jr. is averaging 16.2 points and 4 rebounds. Josh Odunowo is the third double-digit scorer and Ace Valentine is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69.9 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Vermont Catamounts will win
- Vermont has won each of its last seven games against the America East Conference.
- UMBC has lost seven of its last eight home games following a home loss.
- UMBC has lost the first half in 12 of its last 16 games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UMBC’s last 12 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
- Each of Vermont’s last seven road day games against the America East Conference have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
Vermont vs UMBC Injury Report
Neither Vermont nor UMBC have a player listed on its injury report.
Vermont vs UMBC Prediction
UMBC beat Vermont in the first meeting on the road by 17 points as a five-point underdog, so can make a case for the home dog in this spot. However, Vermont is known for making a run this time of year, and winning conference titles and making the NCAA Tournament. Vermont is doing it again this year with wins in eight of its last 10 games. This feels like a revenge spot for Vermont, especially with UMBC losing seven of its last nine games. Give me Vermont and the reasonable chalk.
