VCU vs Dayton Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The VCU Rams and the Dayton Flyers meet Friday in college basketball action from UD Arena. Here’s a VCU vs Dayton prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best VCU vs Dayton pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

VCU Rams Betting Preview

The Rams opened the season on an 11-4 run, then lost to Saint Louis and George Mason in the next pair. VCU hit a win streak over Rhode Island, Saint Joseph’s, Davidson, Richmond, Loyola, Fordham, Dayton, La Salle, Richmond and George Washington after that, then fell to Saint Louis. After a win over Fordham the Rams moved to 22-7 on the year after 29 games.

On Tuesday versus George Mason, the Rams held a one-point edge at the break 34-33. VCU kept it going in the second half on a 36-32 run and ended up powering out the win on their home court 70-65 as the game came to a conclusion. VCU’s Terrence Hill was tops on 16 points with two assists while Jadrian Tracey had 14 points with six rebounds and one assist.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

Over on the Dayton side, they opened the year on a 14-4 run then took losses to La Salle, Saint Joseph’s, Rhode Island, Saint Louis and VCU over the next six games. The Flyers recovered on a win streak though, taking out Davidson, George Mason, Duquesne, Saint Louis and George Washington in the next five outings. That would give the team a 20-9 run through 29 matchups.

Matched up against Richmond on Tuesday the Flyers jumped out to an eight-point lead by halftime 40-32. Dayton added a 28-25 deficit the rest of the way but managed to hang on for the victory on the road in the end 65-60. De’Shayne Montgomery topped the team on 15 points with seven rebounds. Both Amael L’Etang and Jordan Derkack added 13 points and five rebounds each as well.

VCU Rams @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: March 6, 2026

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won each of its last six games.

Why the VCU Rams will win

• VCU has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

VCU vs Dayton Prediction

I’ll lean toward Dayton, but you could call this one either way. The Flyers played fairly well overall versus Richmond in their latest road victory, but did get outmuscled in the paint 32-24 and had 15 turnovers for 18 Spiders points. That said, Dayton shot 48.8 percent from the field while giving up just 38.3 percent on defense in that win. The Flyers have won six straight games now, scoring 68 or more points in five of them (65 in the other).

These teams last met up back on February 6 in a 99-73 road loss for the Flyers. In that one Dayton managed to shoot just 36.9 percent from the field and 60 percent (18-of-30) at the line. The Flyers got out-rebounded 44-38 and had 16 turnovers along the way in a pretty rough game. Dayton will have the advantage of home court in this rematch though, so if all goes well I think they can pull it off.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dayton Flyers -1.5