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Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction 2/5/25 College Basketball Picks

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Indiana State (11-12) vs Valparaiso (10-13)

February 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana State -5 — Over/Under: 162

(Get latest betting odds)

The Valparaiso Beacons and the Indiana State Sycamores meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Hulman Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Valparaiso vs. Indiana State prediction.

Valparaiso Recap

The Valparaiso Beacons come into this game looking to bounce back from an 86-78 loss at the hands of Illinois State last time out to fall to 10-13 on the year. After this game, Valparaiso will head home for a game against Murray State.

Beacons Lose 7th In A Row

Cooper Schwieger leads the Beacons in scoring and rebounding with 14.2 PPG and 7.1 RPG while Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro has 10.7 PPG with 1.8 APG. Tyler Schmidt has 11.9 PPG and 3.4 RPG and All Wright has 12.2 PPG and 2.6 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso so far this season. Darius DeAveiro has a team-high 2.6 APG to lead the Beacons in assists while Devon Ellis has 5.9 PPG with 2.8 RPG and Kaspar Sapp also has 6.5 RPG as well this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 76.9 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three, and 78.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win

  • Indiana State has lost five of its last six night games.

Indiana State Recap

The Indiana State Sycamores come into this game looking to build on an 88-83 win over UIC last time out to improve to 11-12 on the year. After this game, Indiana State will meet Drake and Northern Iowa.

Sycamores Win Back-To-Back Games

Samage Teel leads the Sycamores in scoring and assists with 16.3 PPG and 4.6 APG along with 4.4 RPG while Jaden Daughtry has 13 PPG with 4.6 RPG as well on the year as the only other double-digit scorer for Indiana State so far this season. K’mani Doughty has 8 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Camp Wagner has 9 PPG with 2.8 RPG as well this season. Aaron Gray has 9.7 PPG with 5.5 RPG in 16 games played so far this season. Markus Harding also added 7.5 PPG with 4.6 RPG as well this year. As a team, Indiana State is averaging 80 PPG on 46.4% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three, and 73.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Indiana State Sycamores will win

  • Valparaiso has lost each of its last seven games.
  • Indiana State has won each of its last four night games against Valparaiso at Hulman Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirty-eight of Valparaiso’s last 41 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Sixty-eight of Indiana State’s last 74 games against Conference opponents at Hulman Center have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Prediction

I’m on the Sycamores here. I just can’t get on board with Valparaiso in their current form, as the Beacons have just been finding new and creative ways to lose during this skid that they’ve been on. The Sycamores have at least been more competitive and are a team I trust to lay this kind of reasonable number within this spot. Give me Indiana State laying the points in this matchup.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Indiana State -5

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