Valparaiso vs Evansville Prediction 2/16/25 College Basketball Picks

The Valparaiso Beacons and the Evansville Purple Aces meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Ford Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Valparaiso vs. Evansville prediction.

Valparaiso Recap

The Valparaiso Beacons come into this game looking to add on to their 101-86 win over Belmont last time out to improve to 11-15 on the year. After this game, Valparaiso will head home for a game against Missouri State.

Beacons Snap Lengthy Losing Streak

Cooper Schwieger leads the Beacons in scoring and rebounding with 14.9 PPG and 7.6 RPG while Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro has 11.2 PPG with 1.7 APG. Tyler Schmidt has 11.3 PPG and 3.2 RPG and All Wright has 13.1 PPG and 2.5 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso so far this season. Darius DeAveiro has a team-high 2.7 APG to lead the Beacons in assists while Devon Ellis has 5.6 PPG with 2.7 RPG and Kaspar Sepp also has 6.2 RPG as well this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 76.4 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three, and 78.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win

• Evansville has lost five of its last six night games.
• The road team has won six of Evansville’s last eight games.

Evansville Recap

The Evansville Purple Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from a 71-54 loss at the hands of Missouri State last time out to sit at 9-17 on the year. After this game, Evansville will play against Indiana State, UIC, and Drake.

Aces Lose Third In A Row

Tayshawn Comer leads the Purple Aces in scoring with 15.7 PPG and in assists with 3.8 APG along with 3.7 RPG while Gabriel Pozzato has 15.2 PPG with 4 RPG in 18 games played so far this season. Cam Haffner has 12.7 PPG with 3.6 RPG, capping off the trio of double-digit scorers for Evansville up to this point in the year. Tanner Cuff has 8.8 PPG with Cuff logging a team-high 6.8 RPG and 3.5 APG to lead the Aces in rebounding. Joshua Hughes also has 7.3 PPG and 4.7 RPG while Connor Turnbull has 7.5 PPG with 4.3 RPG on the year. As a team, Evansville is averaging 65.8 PPG on 42.7% shooting from the field, 30.5% from three, and 67.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win

• Valparaiso has lost nine of its last 10 games.
• Evansville has won each of its last three games against Valparaiso.

Total Points Facts

• Fifteen of Evansville’s last 18 night games have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
• Four of Valparaiso’s last five road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Valparaiso vs. Evansville Prediction

I’m leaning towards Evansville. The Aces are not a great basketball team by any stretch, but Valparaiso was playing some of the worst basketball in the conference before getting a win last time out by catching Belmont’s lacking. Realistically, Valparaiso has regressed back to being the worst team in the MVC, and I just don’t trust them, especially on the road, against an Evansville team that hasn’t had much winning be done in the last couple of seasons and rarely has winnable opportunities. I think that this is a prime spot for Evansville to get a quality win at home so give me the Purple Aces laying the points at home here.