UTSA vs Troy Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/25/24

The UTSA Roadrunners are visiting the Troy Trojans on Monday, November 25th at the Trojan Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UTSA Roadrunners vs Troy Trojans Prediction.

Troy Trojans Preview

The Troy Trojans have a 3-2 record this season and are coming off an 84-65 win in West Georgia. The Trojans are 3-2 against the spread, and 2-3 in over/under, while having a 1-0 home record.

Offensively, Troy is averaging 71.2 points per game, which ranks 279th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.4 points per game (154th). The Trojans shoot 44.2% from the field (325th) and just 26.1% from beyond the arc (348th). The Trojans shoot 75% from the free throw line (82nd) and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game (201st).

Miles Rigsby leads Troy in scoring this season, with an average of 12 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jackson Fields adds 11 points and a team-high 6 rebounds. Troy will play against Merrimack and Eastern Kentucky following this one.

UTSA Roadrunners Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners have a 1-2 record this season and are coming off a 64-81 loss in Little Rock. The Roadrunners are 0-2 against the spread, and 1-1 in over/under, while they have a 0-1 road record. 

Offensively, UTSA is averaging 79.7 points per game, which ranks 151st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 81 points per game (335th). The Roadrunners shoot just 38.1% from the field (345th) and 28.7% from beyond the arc (309th). The Roadrunners shoot 83.3% from the free-throw line, which is the 5th-best in the nation, and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game (257th).

Primo Spears leads UTSA in scoring with an average of 20.7 points and 4 assists, while Marcus Millender adds 14 points and 4 assists.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won 14 of its last 15 games at Trojan Arena.
• UTSA has lost 10 of its last 11 road games against non-conference opponents.
• Troy has won the first half in each of its last 12 night games at Trojan Arena.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

• UTSA has won three of its last four night games against the Sun Belt Conference.
• UTSA has won the first half in three of its last four night games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy’s last four games against non-conference opponents has produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of UTSA’s last four games against the Sun Belt Conference Conference has produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranks T33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.6).
• Troy ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.6).
• UTSA ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (14.0).
• UTSA ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (7.0).

UTSA Roadrunners vs Troy Trojans Prediction

UTSA has won both previous meetings against Troy but were 1-1 against the spread. In this UTSA Roadrunners vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Troy is coming as a -11.5 home favorite. While UTSA is better offensively, scoring 8.5 points per game more than Troy, they are inferior defensively, allowing 11.6 points more of their opponents, ranking in the bottom 50 of the nation. The Roadrunners also struggle mightily with their shooting, ranking in the bottom 20 in field goal percentage and bottom 50 in 3-point percentage. Troy is also strong at home, where they have won their only game so far. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the Troy Trojans and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Troy Trojans -11.5