UTSA vs Texas State Prediction 11/12/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a UTSA vs Texas State prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, November 12th at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners are 1-1 this season after they lost to SIUE by a score of 77-60 in their last game. UTSA trailed 34-29 at halftime and allowed 43 points in the second half in the loss. The Roadrunners shot 28.2% from the field, 24.1% on three pointers, and 61.9% on free throws in the game. UTSA was out rebounded by a total of 49-41, recorded nine assists, and committed nine turnovers in the win. Jamir Simpson led UTSA with 16 points and three rebounds, while Kaidon Rayfield, Dorian Hayes, and Austin Nunez all added 10 points in the game. 

Prior to that game, UTSA defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 97-30 to start the season. The Roadrunners have scored 78.5 points per game with 50.0 rebounds and 15.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 53.5 points against per game this season. Jamir Simpson is averaging 14.5 points and 5.0 rebounds per game, while Kaidon Rayfield is averaging 11.5 points and 11.0 rebounds per game for the Roadrunners. UTSA is shooting 39.9% from the field, 62.2% on free throws, and 27.1% on three pointers this season. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 1-2 this year after they lost to Tulane by a score of 79-71 in their last game. Texas State led 39-26 at halftime, but they were outscored 53-32 in the second half for the disappointing loss. The Bobcats shot 43.3% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 84.6% on free throws in the game. Texas State out rebounded Tulane by a total of 33-28, recorded 16 assists, and committed 11 turnovers in the loss. DJ Hall led the Bobcats with 14 points and seven rebounds, while Makai Willis added 12 points and five rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that game, Texas State defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 114-55, but lost to Bowling Green by a score of 83-48 before that. The Bobcats have scored 77.7 points per game with 34.0 rebounds and 14.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.3 points against per game this season. Mark Drone is averaging 11.0 points and 2.3 assists per game, while Franck Emmou is averaging 10.3 points and 3.3 rebounds per game for the Bobcats. Texas State is shooting 48.9% from the field, 76.4% on free throws, and 40.4% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won 10 of its last 11 night games against non-Conference opponents at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.
• UTSA has lost eight of its last nine night games.
• UTSA has lost the first half in 11 of its last 14 road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

• Texas State has lost four of its last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas State’s last seven night games against non-Conference opponents at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center have produced a total of 134 or fewer points.
• Eight of UTSA’s last nine road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 156+ points.

UTSA vs Texas State Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup looking for their first D-1 win of the season, but Texas State will be at home. The Bobcats played well enough to win their last game, but couldn’t finish the job against Tulane. UTSA is shooting just 39.9% from the field and they have scored 65 and 60 points in their two D-1 games this year. I think the Bobcats can gain a little confidence with how they played for the first 30 minutes against Tulane and they should beat up on a poor shooting UTSA team. Take the Bobcats here.

David Racey's Pick: Texas State ML