Utah State vs UNLV Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs UNLV Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

UNLV Rebels Preview

The UNLV Rebels have a 15-14 overall record and a 10-8 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off an 85-83 home win against Nevada and their previous three games were an 80-67 road loss against Grand Canyon, a 91-66 road win against Air Force and a 91-86 home loss against Colorado State.

Offensively, UNLV averages 79.6 points per game, while allowing 78.9 points per game defensively. The Rebels shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 4.5 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.

Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn leads UNLV in scoring, with an average of 21 points per game, while shooting with 51.2% from the field and 83.8% from the free throw line. Howie Fleming Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 rebounds per game, adding a team-high 3.6 assists.

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 24-5 overall record and a 14-4 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 74-69 home win against Grand Canyon and their previous three games were an 89-72 road loss against San Diego State, an 80-77 road loss against Nevada and a 75-56 home win against Boise State.

Offensively, Utah State averages 83.3 points per game, while allowing 69.7 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 51% from the field and grab 34.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.8 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 8.9 steals per game defensively.

MJ Collins Jr. leads Utah State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points per game, while shooting with 50.3% from the field and 80.3% from the free throw line. Mason Falslev is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.7 per game. Drake Allen leads the team in assists with 4.6 per game.

Utah State Aggies @ UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

• The home team has won each of Utah State’s last six games.
• Utah State has lost three of its last four games at Thomas & Mack Center.
• The home team has won the first half in five of Utah State’s last six games.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Utah State has won each of its last six Tuesday road games.
• UNLV has lost six of its last eight night games following an overtime win.
• Utah State has won the first half in eight of its last nine night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last seven night games between Utah State and UNLV at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Eleven of Utah State’s last 12 night games at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction

In this Utah State vs UNLV Prediction, Utah State is coming as -8.5 road favorites. Utah State has been the far better team this season but have been bad against the spread with a 12-16 ATS record. They are coming off a win that snapped their previous two-game losing streak and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. UNLV is 5-2 in its last 7 games and won their previous meeting earlier this season by 10 points in Utah so I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take UNLV and get the +8.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UNLV +8.5