Tennessee State guard Dante Harris (10) dribbles the ball during a NCAA basketball game between the Tennessee Volunteers and Tennessee State Tigers at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center in Knoxville, Tenn., on Nov. 20, 2025.
Angelina Alcantar/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

UT Martin vs Tennessee State Prediction 12/18/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UT Martin Skyhawks Tennessee State Tigers
Team Records 8-3 6-4
Spread +2.5 -112 -2.5 -108
Moneyline +124 -148
Total Over 141.5 (-105) Under 141.5 (-115)
Where Gentry Center, Nashville, TN
When Thursday, December 18, 2025
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a UT Martin vs Tennessee State prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, December 18th at the Gentry Center in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UT Martin Skyhawks Betting Preview

The UT Martin Skyhawks are 8-3 (0-0) this season after they defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 96-52 in their last game. UT Martin led 48-34 at halftime and held their opponent to just 18 points in the second half in the lopsided win. The Skyhawks shot 45% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. AJ Hopkins led UT Martin with 21 points and eight rebounds, while Lamine Niang added 16 points and 10 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, UT Martin lost to Southern Illinois by a score of 83-54, but did beat Alabama State by a score of 74-64 before that. The Skyhawks have scored 75.9 points per game with 43.2 rebounds and 15.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.5 points against per game this season. Andrija Bukumirovic is averaging 14.7 points and 9.1 rebounds per game, while Matas Deniusas is averaging 13.6 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Skyhawks. UT Martin is shooting 43.8% from the field, 64.9% on free throws, and 31.9% on three pointers this season. 

Tennessee State Tigers Betting Preview

The Tennessee State Tigers are 6-4 (0-0) this year after they defeated UNLV by a score of 63-60 in their last game. Tennessee State trailed 33-29 at halftime, but outscored UNLV 34-27 in the second half to escape with the win. The Tigers shot 47% from the field, 13% on three pointers, and 38% on free throws in the game. Aaron Nkrumah led Tennessee State with 12 points and eight rebounds, while Travis Harper II added 12 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Tennessee State lost to Alabama A&M by a score of 80-53, but did beat Chattanooga by a score of 70-64 before that. The Tigers have scored 79.5 points per game with 41.8 rebounds and 13.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.1 points against per game this season. Aaron Nkrumah is averaging 16.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Travis Harper II is averaging 15.0 points and 5.2 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Tennessee State is shooting 43.8% from the field, 74.3% on free throws, and 26.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Tennessee State Tigers will win

  • Tennessee State has won each of its last nine games at Gentry Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UT Martin has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 night games against the Ohio Valley Conference.

Why the UT Martin Skyhawks will win

  • UT Martin has won four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UT Martin has won the first half in three of its last four road games against Tennessee State.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Tennessee State’s last four games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Six of UT Martin’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

UT Martin vs Tennessee State Prediction 

Tennessee State comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they just got a very nice win over UNLV. The Tigers are shooting 44% from the field this year, but they have allowed 64 points or fewer in two of their last three games. UT Martin has also won four of their last five and they have allowed 64 points or fewer in all four of those wins. The Skyhawks are shooting 44% from the field and they are a very good rebounding team. UT Martin has the better overall defensive numbers, but I think Tennessee State can build on that UNLV win here. Take the Tigers to cover at home.

David Racey's Pick: Tennessee State -3.5

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