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UNC Wilmington vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/20/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Texas Tech (25-8) vs UNC Wilmington (27-7)

March 20, 2025 at 10:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Tech -14.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UNC-Wilmington Seahawks and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Thursday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UNC-Wilmington vs. Texas Tech prediction.

UNC-Wilmington Recap

The UNC-Wilmington Seahawks come into the NCAA tournament as the representative of the CAA, finishing the year with a 27-7 overall record, including a 14-4 mark in CAA conference play. As the 2-seed in the NCAA tournament, UNCW took out Hampton, Charleston and Delaware on the way to the conference tournament title.

Seahawks Make First NCAA Tournament Appearance Since 2017

Donovan Newby leads the Seahawks in scoring and assists with 14.6 PPG and 3.5 APG while Khamari McGriff has 11.6 PPG with 4 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for UNCW so far this season. Harlan Obioha has 9.3 PPG with 5.9 RPG and Noah Ross has 8.1 PPG with 5.1 RPG played so far this season. Sean Moore’s contributed 8.8 PPG and a team-high 6.5 RPG as well for the Seahawks this season. Bo Montgomery’s also chipped in 9.1 PPG and 3.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, UNC-Wilmington is averaging 79.4 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 74.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks will win

  • North Carolina-Wilmington has won 15 of its last 16 night games.
  • Texas Tech has lost each of its last four NCAA Tournament night games.

Texas Tech Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into the NCAA tournament repping the Big 12, finishing with an overall record of 25-8 including a 15-5 mark in Big 12 conference play. As the 2-seed in the Big 12 tournament, the Red Raiders knocked off Baylor before falling to Arizona in the semi-finals.

Red Raiders Making 6th Tournament Appearance In Last 7 Seasons


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JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding with 18.1 PPG and 9.2 RPG while Darrion Williams has 14.3 PPG with 5.2 RPG and 3.7 APG up to this point in the year. Chance McMillian has 14.2 PPG with 4.1 RPG and Christian Anderson has 10.8 PPG and 3 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Texas Tech so far this season. Kevin Overton has 8.2 PPG with 3.8 RPG while Elijah Hawkins also has 9.1 PPG with a team-high 6.4 APG and 1.6 SPG as well so far this season. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 80.9 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 37.9% from three and 76.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won eight of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last five night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 147+ points.
  • Each of North Carolina-Wilmington’s last four games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.

UNC-Wilmington vs. Texas Tech Prediction

I’m on Texas Tech here. Obviously the injuries within the Red Raider lineup are important to monitor like Williams & McMillian, but I still think that the Red Raiders are the better team by a fair margin in this game and I just don’t think that UNC-Wilmington will be able to hang and match the level of physicality that Texas Tech is bringing here. The Seahawks are a scrappy dog, but in the end, I see Texas Tech pulling away for a road win and cover here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas Tech -14.5


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