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UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Retrievers UMBC | Bears Morgan State |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Where | Hill Field House, Baltimore, MD | |
| When | Tuesday, November 11, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview
The UMBC Retrievers lost to Dayton, and they play Wagner and George Washington next. UMBC has lost 6 of its last 8 games.
The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 72.5 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 65 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Jah’likai King is averaging 18.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, while DJ Armstrong Jr. is averaging 13.5 points and 1 rebound. Ace Valentine is the third double-digit scorer and Jose Roberto Tanchyn is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 40.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 21.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
Morgan State Bears Betting Preview
The Morgan State Bears lost to Georgetown, and they play Mercyhurst and NC A&T next. Morgan State has split its last 10 games.
The Morgan State Bears are averaging 85.5 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 82 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Rob Lawson is averaging 20 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Alfred Worrell Jr. is averaging 16 points and 1 rebound. Marland Harris is grabbing 5 rebounds and Elijah Davis is dishing 4.5 assists. The Morgan State Bears are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Morgan State Bears are allowing 28.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game.
Why the Morgan State Bears will win
- UMBC has lost each of its last six road games.
- Morgan State has won each of its last eight Tuesday night games at Talmadge L. Hill Field House.
- UMBC has lost the first half in each of its last five road games.
Why the UMBC Retrievers will win
- Morgan State has lost 11 of its last 12 night games against non-Conference opponents.
- UMBC has won six of its last seven night games following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Morgan State’s last five games against non-Conference opponents at Talmadge L. Hill Field House have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
- Each of UMBC’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction
UMBC is the more talented team, obviously and just gave Dayton a scare as 25-point underdogs. UMBC should be favored. However, Morgan State has a balanced offensive attack and is an extremely experienced team eager to make some noise. There’s only three underclassmen on this Morgan State roster. Lawson is off to a ridiculous start through two games, which includes giving Georgetown the business. This is a Baltimore rivalry as well, and I love my dogs in a rivalry. Give me the points with Morgan State.
