Pick details
| MATCHUP | UConn Huskies | Michigan Wolverines |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 34-5 | 36-3 |
| Spread | +6.5 -108 | -6.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +240 | -298 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-105) | Under 144.5 (-115) |
| Where | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN | |
| When | Monday, April 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:50 PM EDT | |
| TV | TBS | |
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines beat Tennessee and Arizona. Michigan has won 36 of its last 39 games.
The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 88.5 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 69.1 points on 38 percent shooting. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 15.1 points and 3.3 assists, while Morez Johnson Jr. is averaging 13.1 points and 7.3 rebounds. Aday Mara is the third double-digit scorer and Elliot Cadeau is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Michigan Wolverines are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan Wolverines are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game.
UConn Huskies Betting Preview
The UConn Huskies beat Illinois and Duke. UConn has won 12 of its last 15 games.
The UConn Huskies are averaging 78.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 65.3 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Tarris Reed Jr. is averaging 14.8 points and 8.8 rebounds, while Alex Karaban is averaging 13.1 points and 2.4 assists. Solo Ball is the third double-digit scorer, and Braylon Mullins is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The UConn Huskies are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The UConn Huskies are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 12 Monday games.
- Connecticut has lost the first half in four of its last five night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Connecticut has won each of its last 18 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
- Michigan has lost six of its last seven games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a top-10 AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
- Michigan has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of Connecticut’s last 11 games against the Big Ten Conference at neutral venues has produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
- Each of Michigan’s last six games has produced a total of 152+ points.
Michigan Wolverines Player Facts
- Elliot Cadeau ranks 1st for total assists (43) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Aday Mara ranks 1st for total blocks (13) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
Connecticut Huskies Player Facts
- Tarris Reed Jr. is the only Div. 1 player to have recorded a 30-point, 20-rebound game this season.
- Alex Karaban ranks T1st in free throw percentage (100.0%) in this season’s NCAA Tournament (min. 6 attempts).
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan is the only team to win all of its games by double digits in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Michigan has shot 45.0% or better from three in three games during this season’s NCAA Tournament—more than any team.
- Two different Connecticut players have scored 25+ points in a game during this season’s NCAA Tournament—equal to the most of any team.
- Connecticut has recorded the lowest score in a win during this season’s NCAA Tournament (67 points vs. Michigan State).
UConn vs Michigan Prediction
Michigan has put BTA from the start of the season and what it did to Arizona reminded us just how elite this team can be. I don’t want to step in front of this freight train, especially when Michigan is the more talented team in terms of roster. However, I’ve been blindly backing UConn in the tournament for a few years now and it’s paid off. Dan Hurley is 18-1 ATS and SU in the tournament at UConn. The one failed cover came this year against Furman. The one outright loss was a two-point defeat to the champion Florida Gators. UConn has one tournament loss since March 17, 2023. In its last 30 tournament games, UConn is 25-5 ATS and SU. Since 2011, UConn has been 10-1 ATS and 9-2 SU as an underdog in the tournament.
The Big Ten also hasn’t won a championship in nearly three decades for what it’s worth. We also need to see the status of Yaxel Lendeborg, as ankle injuries are usually worse the next day. Hurley has placed himself in the conversation of the best college basketball coaches of all time, and coaching matters at this stage. There’s a ton of history that proves UConn shows up in these spots time and time again. We’re talking 15 years. Michigan is the better team on paper and it’s steamrolling. I still want the points.
Randy Chambers's Pick: UConn +7.5
