Jan 6, 2026; Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA; UCF Knights guard Riley Kugel (2) dunks the ball during the second half against the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Gallagher-Iba Arena. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-Imagn Images
William Purnell-Imagn Images

UCF vs Kansas State Prediction 1/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UCF Golden Knights Kansas State Wildcats
Team Records 13-2 9-7
Spread +1.5 -102 -1.5 -118
Moneyline +110 -130
Total Over 170.5 (-112) Under 170.5 (-108)
Where Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
When Wednesday, January 14, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV Peacock

The UCF Knights and the Kansas State Wildcats meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Bramlage Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats prediction.

UCF Knights Recap

The UCF Knights come into this game looking to add on to their 73-72 win over Cincinnati last time out to sit at 13-2 this season. After this game, UCF will head home for a game against Arizona.

Knights Looking To Stay Hot

Riley Kugel leads the Knights in scoring with 14.5 PPG along with 3.1 RPG and 2.7 APG while Themus Fulks has 13 PPG with 3.2 RPG and a team-high 7 APG to lead the Knights in assists. Jordan Burks has 12.6 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Jamichael Stillwell has 12.3 PPG with a team-high 8.1 RPG to lead the Knights in rebounding and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for UCF so far this season. As a team, UCF is averaging 86 PPG on 48.8% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three and 73.1% from the foul line this season.

Kansas State Wildcats Recap

The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game looking to bounce back from an 87-84 loss at the hands of Arizona State last time out to sit at 9-7 this season. After this game, Kansas State will head on the road for a game against Oklahoma State.

Wildcats Lose 3 In A Row

P.J. Haggerty leads the Wildcats in scoring and assists with 22.8 PPG and 4.6 APG along with 4.8 RPG while David Castillo has 13.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.5 APG. Abdi Bashir Jr. has 13 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.4 APG and Nate Johnson has 12.3 PPG With a team-high 5.3 RPG and 2.2 SPG to lead the Wildcats in rebounding and steals along with 3.9 APG. Khamari McGriff has 10.3 PPG with 4.4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Kansas State up to this point in the year. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 88 PPG on 49.6% shooting from the field, 41.2% from three and 71.3% from the foul line this season.

UCF Knights @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: January 14, 2026

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

  • Kansas State has won 24 of its last 27 night games at Fred Bramlage Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UCF has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games against Conference opponents.

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • UCF has won 12 of its last 13 games.
  • Kansas State has lost each of its last four games against Conference opponents.
  • Kansas State has lost the first half in four of its last five night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last 12 games against Conference opponents at Fred Bramlage Coliseum have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
  • Ten of UCF’s last 11 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 168 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Kansas State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (65.4).
  • Kansas State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.6).
  • UCF has recorded the equal-longest home winning streak among Division 1 teams this season (10 games).
  • UCF ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (31.3).

UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction

I’m on the over here. I just think this is going to be a track meet between two fast-paced offensive units that like to get up and down the floor. This just feels like a game where both teams score well into the 80s and we get some fireworks on Wednesday night. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 171.5

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