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UC Santa Barbara vs CSU Bakersfield Prediction 2/6/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

CSU Bakersfield (10-13) vs UC Santa Barbara (14-8)

February 6, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: CSU Bakersfield +2.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UCSB Gauchos are visiting the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners on Thursday, February 6th at the Icardo Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UCSB Gauchos vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Prediction. We will examine:

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners’ recent form and player performance

The UCSB Gauchos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UCSB Gauchos

Recent betting trends in games played between the UCSB Gauchos and Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UCSB Gauchos vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners game

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Preview

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners have a 10-13 record this season and are sitting in 8th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 62-88 loss to Cal State Northridge. The Roadrunners are 7-13-1 against the spread, and 14-7 in over/under while having a 7-3 home record. 

Offensively, Cal State Bakersfield is averaging 74.5 points per game, which ranks 185th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.7 points per game (244th). The Roadrunners shoot 43.9% from the field (231st) and 39.1% from beyond the arc, which is the 10th-best in the nation. The Roadrunners shoot 76.2% from the free-throw line (41st) and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game (166th).

Jemel Jones leads Cal State Bakersfield in scoring this season, with an average of 18.1 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Corey Stephenson adds 11.8 points and a team-high 5.4 rebounds per game.

UCSB Gauchos Preview

The UCSB Gauchos have a 14-8 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place in the Big West. The Gauchos are coming off an 85-54 win over Long Beach State. The Gauchos are 8-12 against the spread, and 8-12 in over/under while having a 5-4 road record.

Offensively, UCSB is averaging 74.4 points per game, which ranks 189th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.1 points per game (45th). The Gauchos shoot 47.3% from the field (66th) and 38.6% from beyond the arc (16th). The Gauchos shoot 75.4% from the free-throw line (58th) and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game (177th). 

Stephan Swenson leads UCSB in scoring this season, with an average of 12.9 points and a team-high 4.4 assists, while Kenny Pohto adds 12 points and a team-high 7 rebounds per game.

Why the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners will win

  • Cal State Bakersfield has won each of its last eight games at Icardo Center following a road loss.
  • Cal State Bakersfield has won the first half in nine of its last 12 games at Icardo Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

  • UC Santa Barbara has won each of its last 10 games against Cal State Bakersfield.
  • Cal State Bakersfield has lost four of its last five games.
  • UC Santa Barbara has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Cal State Bakersfield.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Cal State Bakersfield ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (9.8).
  • Cal State Bakersfield ranks T360th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (19.0).
  • UC Santa Barbara ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.9).
  • UC Santa Barbara ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (38.6%).

UCSB Gauchos vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Prediction

UCSB has won their last 10 meetings against Cal State Bakersfield, and are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Cal State Bakersfield, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UCSB won 78-66 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this UCSB Gauchos vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Prediction, UCSB is coming as a -2.5 road favorites. UCSB is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and they are better both offensively and defensively. Both teams are coming in poor form, as the Gauchos are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games, and the Roadrunners are 0-5 against the spread in their last 5. Total-wise, both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 12-2 to the over in their last 14 games combined. Their previous meeting this season also went over the total, so I expect another high-scoring affair today.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 142.5

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