UC San Diego vs Fresno State Prediction 11/12/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a UC San Diego vs Fresno State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, November 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

Fresno State has a 2-1 record this season. They are 1-1 ATS, 1-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 0-0 away record. Fresno State is coming off an 82-62 home win against Long Beach State and will face Utah Valley, Stephen F. Austin and New Orleans next.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 78.7 points per game, which ranks 211th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 60.0 points per game (48th). The Bulldogs shoot with 47.6% from the field (135th), and with 29.6% from beyond the arc (226th). They shoot with 67.9% from the free throw line (240th), and grab 40 rebounds per game (151st), while dishing out 14 assists per game (225th) and committing 14.3 turnovers per game (253rd).

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 18.3 points and 3.3 assists. Zaon Collins follows with 13 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while DeShawn Gory adds 9 points per game.

UC San Diego Tritons Preview

UC San Diego has a 2-0 record this season. They are 1-0 ATS, 0-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. UC San Diego is coming off a 78-60 home win against Houston Christian and will face Idaho, Temple and Nevada next.

Offensively, UC San Diego averages 91.5 points per game, which ranks 74th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 66.5 points per game (115th). The Tritons shoot with 50.8% from the field (65th), and with 39.2% from beyond the arc (61st). They shoot with 76.5% from the free throw line (73rd), and grab 42.5 rebounds per game (102nd), while dishing out 17 assists per game (118th) and committing 12 turnovers per game (136th).

Tom Beattie leads UC San Diego in scoring, with an average of 16.5 points and 5 rebounds. Leo Beath follows with 15.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, while Alex Chaikin adds 11.5 points and 3.5 rebounds per game.

UC San Diego Tritons @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: November 12, 2025

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• UC San Diego has lost each of its last eight Wednesday games.
• Fresno State has won 14 of its last 16 home games against the Big West Conference.
• Fresno State has won the first half in 16 of its last 17 home games against the Big West Conference.

Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win

• UC San Diego has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Fresno State has lost eight of its last nine games following a home win.
• UC San Diego has won the first half in each of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UC San Diego’s last eight games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
• Each of Fresno State’s last eight home games against the Big West Conference have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

UC San Diego vs Fresno State Prediction

In this UC San Diego vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off comfortable wins in their previous matches, as Fresno State won by 20 and are playing their second straight game at home, while UC San Diego won by 18 and are being tested for the first time on the road this season. Both teams have been playing elite defense so far this season, allowing 126.5 points per game combined, so I expect a tight, low-scoring affair today. Take the under 150.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 150.5