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UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Prediction 12/6/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Where | Mott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA | |
| When | Saturday, December 6, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Cal Poly Mustangs Preview
Cal Poly has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting on the 8th place of the Big West conference. They have a 4-0 home record and a 1-4 away record. Their previous three games were a win against CSU Fullerton, a win against Redlands and a loss against Southeast Missouri State.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81.4 points per game, while allowing 85.6 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 42.8% from the field (258th), and with 35.2% from beyond the arc (86th). They shoot with 72.9% from the free throw line (96th), and grab 40.8 rebounds per game (40th), while dishing out 13.5 assists per game (138th) and committing 17.3 turnovers per game (357th).
Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 19.3 points per game. Luka Tarlac adds 5 points per game and a team-high 4.5 assists per game. Ali Assran adds 4.4 points per game and a team-high 5.6 rebounds per game.
UC Riverside Highlanders Preview
UC Riverside has a 4-5 record this season and is sitting on the 7th place of the Big West conference. They have a 2-1 home record and a 2-3 away record. Their previous three games were a loss against UC Irvine, a loss against Utah Tech and a win against Grambling.
Offensively, UC Riverside averages 75 points per game, while allowing 72.4 points per game defensively. The Highlanders shoot with 47.7% from the field (54th), and with 35.4% from beyond the arc (83rd). They shoot with 75% from the free throw line (68th), and grab 34.9 rebounds per game (139th), while dishing out 12.9 assists per game (171st) and committing 14.6 turnovers per game (283rd).
Andrew Henderson leads UC Riverside in scoring, with an average of 16.8 points per game. Marqui Worthy Jr. adds 15 points per game and a team-high 3.3 assists per game. Osiris Grady adds 13.4 points per game and a team-high 6.8 rebounds per game.
UC Riverside Highlanders @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: December 6, 2025
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- Cal Poly has won seven of its last eight games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
- UC Riverside has lost four of its last five road games.
- Cal Poly has won the first half in each of its last four games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
Why the UC Riverside Highlanders will win
- UC Riverside has won seven of its last eight road games against Cal Poly.
- Cal Poly has lost 27 of its last 31 day games against Conference opponents.
- UC Riverside has won the first half in each of its last five day games against Cal Poly.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UC Riverside’s last 10 games have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
- Sixty-one of Cal Poly’s last 68 day games have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Prediction
In this UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Prediction, Cal Poly is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and the same number of defeats. They are coming into this matchup in opposite trajectories, as Cal Poly has back-to-back wins and has been undefeated at home, while on the other hand, UC Riverside has lost two straight. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games combined, so I expect a high-scoring affair today, as Cal Poly has been efficient offensively and terrible defensively. Take the over 163.5 points.
