UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction 1/16/25 College Basketball Picks

The UC-Davis Aggies are visiting the Cal Poly Mustangs on Thursday, January 16th at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction. We will examine:

The Cal Poly Mustangs’ recent form and player performance

The UC-Davis Aggies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Davis Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between UC-Davis Aggiesand Cal Poly Mustangs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UC-Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs game

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 6-12 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 72-75 loss to USCB. The Mustangs are 6-12 against the spread, and 7-10 in over/under, while having a 4-3 home record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 81.1 points per game, which is 59th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 85.3 points per game, which is the third-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot 45.7% from the field (149th) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (189th). The Mustangs shoot 76% from the free throw line (53rd) and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (183rd).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 18.3 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 14.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and a team-high 3.4 assists

UC-Davis Aggies Preview

The UC-Davis Aggies have an 8-8 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big West. The Aggies are coming off a 73-84 loss by Long Beach State. The Aggies are 7-7 against the spread, and 5-9 in over/under while having a 2-6 road record.

Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 70.1 points per game, which ranks 290th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71 points per game (174th). The Aggies shoot 40.7% from the field (343rd) and 31.2% from beyond the arc (304th). The Aggies shoot 74.2% from the free-throw line (95th) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (248th).

TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 20.4 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 11.1 points and 5.2 rebounds. UC Davis will meet Santa Barbara and Hawaii after this game.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Cal Poly has won each of its last four night games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
• UC Davis has lost four of its last five road games.
• The home team has won the first half in six of UC Davis’ last seven games.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

• Cal Poly has lost each of its last 27 games against the Big West Conference.
• UC Davis has won 15 of its last 16 games against Cal Poly.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 home games against the Big West Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cal Poly ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (10.4).
• Cal Poly ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (85.3).
• UC Davis ranks T15th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.1).
• UC Davis ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.2).

UC-Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Head-to-Head

UC-Davis is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly is 4-3-1 against the spread in their last 8 meetings. Under is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UC-Davis won 77-66 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

UC-Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

In this UC-Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, Cal Poly is coming as a -3.5 home favorites. The Mustangs have been in poor form as of late, as they are 1-8 in their last 9 games and 1-8 against the spread as well. UC-Davis is 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 games and 0-3 against the spread in their last 3 road games. I trust the home team more in this matchup between two struggling teams, as they have superior offense and better shooting percentages. Take the Cal Poly Mustangs and lay the points at home.