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UAB vs St. Joseph’s Prediction 3/19/25 College Basketball Picks

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St. Joseph's (22-12) vs UAB (22-12)

March 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Joseph's -5.5 — Over/Under: 156.5

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In this article, we will formulate a UAB vs St. Joseph’s prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 19 at the Michael J. Hagan ’85 Arena in Philadelphia, PA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NIT. The winner of this game will meet Santa Clara in the 2nd Round.

UAB Blazers Betting Preview

The UAB Blazers (22-12, 17-16 ATS) finished the regular season on a strong note, winning eight of the last ten games to secure the No. 3 seed for the American Athletic tournament. UAB didn’t have problems against East Carolina and North Texas, covering both in the process of making it to the conference finals, but Memphis proved to be too strong as the Shockers succumbed to an 84-72 defeat.

UAB averages 82.5 PPG (17th) and allows 76.2 PPG (298th). The Blazers are 22nd in rebounds (39.8) and 44th in assists (16.1). Yaxel Lendeborg leads the team with 17.7 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 4.2 APG, 1.7 SPG, and 1.8 BPG. Alejandro Vasquez follows him with 11.1 PPG and 2.9 RPG, while Ja’Borri McGhee chips in 11.1 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.0 SPG.

St. Joseph’s Hawks Betting Preview

The St. Joseph’s Hawks (22-12, 17-17 ATS) experienced their best stretch of the season late on as they recorded five consecutive wins. They did lose the final game of the regular season to La Salle but got revenge in the very next game as St. Joseph’s eliminated La Salle from the Atlantic 10 tournament. The Hawks went on to beat Dayton in overtime in the quarterfinals but didn’t have a chance in a 74-64 loss to George Mason in the semis.

St. Joseph’s is averaging 75.4 PPG (140th) and is allowing 68.6 PPG (72nd). The Hawks are getting 37.1 RPG (101st) and dish out 14.6 APG (120th). Xzayvier Brown is the team’s top performer with 17.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG, a team-high 4.4 APG, and a team-high 1.4 SPG. Erik Reynolds II has 16.2 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 2.7 APG, while Rasheer Fleming contributes 14.9 PPG, a team-high 8.7 RPG, 1.4 SPG, and a team-high 1.6 BPG.

Why UAB will beat St. Joseph’s

  • UAB has won each of its last 11 Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.
  • Saint Joseph’s has lost three of its last four games against the American Athletic Conference.
  • Saint Joseph’s has lost the first half in three of its last four games against the American Athletic Conference.

Why St. Joseph’s will beat UAB

  • Saint Joseph’s has won each of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Saint Joseph’s’ last 11 night games against non-conference opponents has produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
  • Each of UAB’s last four games against non-conference opponents has produced a total of 161+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Saint Joseph’s ranks T41st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.9).
  • Saint Joseph’s ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.0).
  • UAB ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.8%).
  • UAB ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.63).

UAB vs St. Joseph’s Prediction

It’s going to be the first meeting between these teams. I reckon the Hawks are favorites here, they are playing at home, but I am not sure about the winner as UAB has a solid team and is extremely good on offense. Because of the Blazers’ offense, I am going with a high-scoring affair and Over. Eight of St. Joseph’s previous nine games went Over. The Hawks scored 75+ points in each of their last seven home games and considering that UAB’s defense is rather lenient, I am backing them to score around 80 here. Go with Over.

 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 156.5

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