UAB vs North Texas Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks

The North Texas Mean Green and the UAB Blazers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Dickies Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Texas vs. UAB prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams split the regular season meetings, with the home team emerging victorious in both as North Texas won the first meeting 78-75 on December 31st, 2024, before UAB won at home on February 3rd, 2025. The win made it three in the last four for UAB in this head-to-head matchup.

North Texas Recap

The North Texas Mean Green punched their ticket to the AAC tournament semis after ending up with a 77-59 win over Tulsa last time out.

Mean Green Trying To Make First AAC Title Game Appearance

Atin Wright leads the Mean Green in scoring with 15.3 PPG along with 2.4 RPG while Brenen Lorient has 12.2 PPG with 4.7 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for North Texas up to this point in the year. Johnathan Massie has 8 PPG with 4.8 RPG while Jasper Floyd has 8.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG as well on the year to lead the Mean Green in the assist department. Moulaye Sissoko has 7.6 PPG with a team-high 6.5 RPG to lead North Texas on the glass while Latrell Jossell has 7.3 PPG as well on the year. As a team, North Texas is averaging 68.5 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three-point range and 77.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won eight of its last nine games.

UAB Recap

The UAB Blazers come into this game on the heels of their 94-77 win over East Carolina in the quarters to advance.

UAB Trying To Defend AAC Title

Yaxel Lendeborg has a team-high 17.5 PPG and 10.8 RPG to lead the Blazers in scoring and rebounding while also adding a team-high 4.2 APG. Christian Coleman has 11.3 PPG with 7.1 RPG and Alejandro Vasquez has 11.4 PPG. Ja’Borri McGhee has 11 PPG with 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for UAB up to this point in the year. Efrem Johnson has 9 PPG with 2 RPG. Tony Toney has chipped in 7.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG and 2 APG and Tyren Moore has 6.6 PPG with 2.1 APG while Bradley Ezewiro has 7.5 PPG and 4.7 RPG this season. As a team, UAB is averaging 83.4 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three and 76.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

• UAB has won nine of its last 10 Conference Tournament games.
• North Texas has lost four of its last five day games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UAB’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144+ points.
• Fifteen of North Texas’ last 16 day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.

North Texas vs. UAB prediction

I’m looking at North Texas here. I get the case to be made for UAB as the Blazers have a rock solid offense, but the irony in this game is that the Blazers’ win over North Texas was a defensive-minded game and North Texas won a high-scoring affair. That being said in a one-and-done style situation like we have here, North Texas’ defense I think is the unit that’s going to shine through in the end as I just trust North Texas more in this spot with that defense. I think UAB’s going to have a hard time breaking it down here and I think the Mean Green move on here. Give me North Texas.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: North Texas -2.5