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Troy vs Southern Mississippi Prediction 2/28/25 College Basketball Picks

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Southern Mississippi (10-20) vs Troy (19-10)

February 28, 2025 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Southern Mississippi +8.5 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Troy Trojans and Southern Miss Golden Eagles meet Friday in college basketball action at the Reed Green Coliseum. Here’s a Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs Southern Miss Pick.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview 

The Troy Trojans are coming off wins over Coastal Carolina and Texas State. Troy looks to win 20 games for a fourth straight season. 

The Troy Trojans are averaging 73.1 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 65.6 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Tayton Conerway is averaging 13.8 points and 5 assists, while Myles Rigsby is averaging 11.4 points and 4.1 rebounds. Thomas Dowd is dishing 1 assist and Jackson Fields is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Troy Trojans are shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free throw line. The Troy Trojans are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview 

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are coming off losses to Louisiana and South Alabama. Southern Miss has lost seven straight games, but it’s senior night for a roster with 10 seniors.

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are averaging 72.1 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 76.5 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Denijay Harris is averaging 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Neftali Alvarez is averaging 10.7 points and 3.5 assists. Andre Curbelo is dishing 4.7 assists and DeAntoni Gordon is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are shooting 30.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.1 percent from the free throw line. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

  • Southern Miss has won 34 of its last 42 games at Reed Green Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Troy has lost three of its last four games following a road win.
  • Southern Miss has won the first half in each of its last three night games against Troy.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Southern Miss has lost each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Troy has won five of its last six road night games against Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in five of Southern Miss’ last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Troy’s last nine road games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Six of Southern Miss’ last seven home night games against the Sun Belt Conference have produced a total of 147+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Troy ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (54.3%).
  • Troy ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.85).

Troy vs Southern Miss Injury Report

Neither Troy nor Southern Miss have a player listed on its injury report.

Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction

If there was ever a game for Southern Miss to get up for, it’s senior night with a roster that has double-digit seniors. I still can’t grab the points. Southern Miss is in awful form with losses in nine of its last 10 games and is getting drilled defensively. Southern Miss has allowed 80 or more points in five of its last nine games. Troy is fighting for a top seed in the Sun Belt and is a profitable 16-11 ATS on the season. I have to lay the points with Troy on the road. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Troy -8.5

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