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James Madison vs Texas State Prediction 2/28/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Texas State (15-15) vs James Madison (20-10)

Game Info: Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Strahan Arena at the University Events Center)

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas State +1 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The James Madison Dukes and Texas State Bobcats meet on Friday in college basketball action at Strahan Arena. Here’s a James Madison vs Texas State Prediction. This article will include a James Madison vs Texas State Pick.

James Madison Dukes Betting Preview

The James Madison Dukes (20-10, 11-16-1 ATS) are playing their best basketball of the season after winning ten of the last 11 games. James Madison is on a five-game winning streak, and the only thing that spoiled this fantastic period of the Dukes was a road loss to Toledo. James Madison comes here following an 85-79 victory over UL Monroe on the road. The Monarchs are 1st in the Sun Belt Standings with a win ahead of Arkansas State, South Alabama, and Troy.

James Madison averages 73.4 PPG (214th) and allows 69.1 PPG (93rd). The Dukes are 189th in rebounds (35.7) and 366th in assists (11.8). Mark Freeman leads the team with 15.0 PPG, 2.6 RPG, and a team-high 3.1 APG. Bryce Lindsay follows him with 13.4 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and 2.3 APG, while Elijah Hutchins-Everett has 11.1 PPG and 5.7 RPG.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats (15-15, 13-15 ATS) survived the worst period of the season during which they lost five games in a row. The Bobcats bounced back with three wins in the next five games, defeating UL Monroe twice and South Alabama, but their most recent game resulted in a 74-69 home loss to Troy. Texas State is 7th in the Sun Belt Standings and could move further down with a potential loss here, while the Bobcats can’t move up even if they beat JMU on Friday.

Texas State is averaging 75.9 PPG (132nd) and is allowing 73.0 PPG (214th). The Bobcats are getting 36.8 RPG (118th) and dish out 14.6 APG (133rd). Tylan Pope is the team’s top scorer with 16.2 PPG, 6.5 RPG, and a team-high 1.4 BPG. Tyrel Morgan adds 13.9 PPG, a team-high 6.7 RPG, 2.5 APG, and 1.4 SPG, while Kaden Gumbs contributes 11.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, and a team-high 1.5 SPG.

Why James Madison will beat Texas State

  • James Madison has won each of its last 10 games against Conference opponents.
  • Texas State has lost six of its last seven games at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center following a home loss.

James Madison vs Texas State Prediction

These teams have met three times so far; James Madison won two H2Hs, including the first meeting of this season when the Dukes won 73-68 at home. Texas State lacks motivation in this game and couldn’t go up even with a win, while James Madison could not afford to lose because South Alabama could climb to the top spot with a win and the Dukes’ defeat. James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 24 of its last 35 games. James Madison is in a way better form at the moment and has something to play for, so I am backing the visitors to grab a victory here. It won’t be easy, though. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: James Madison ML

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