Dec 16, 2025; East Lansing, Michigan, USA; Michigan State Spartans guard Kur Teng (2) slashes in for a basket behind Toledo Rockets forward Jaylan Ouwinga (32) during the second half at Jack Breslin Student Events Center. Mandatory Credit: Dale Young-Imagn Images
Dale Young-Imagn Images

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toledo Rockets Miami (OH) Redhawks
Team Records 16-13 29-0
Spread +7.5 -102 -7.5 -118
Moneyline +310 -395
Total Over 162.5 (-108) Under 162.5 (-112)
Where Millett Hall, Oxford, OH
When Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks have a 29-0 overall record and a 16-0 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 69-67 road win against Western Michigan and their previous three games were a 74-64 road win against Eastern Michigan, a 91-77 home win against Bowling Green and an 86-77 road win against Massachusetts.

Offensively, Miami (OH) averages 90.9 points per game, while allowing 73.9 points per game defensively. The RedHawks shoot with 53% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.3 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively.

Peter Suder leads Miami (OH) in scoring, with an average of 14.7 points per game, while shooting with 55.9% from the field and 73.4% from the free throw line. Eian Elmer is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 rebounds per game. Luke Skaljac leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game.

Toledo Rockets Preview

The Toledo Rockets have a 16-13 overall record and a 10-6 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 79-67 road win against Ohio and their previous three games were a 79-69 home win against Northern Illinois, a 94-75 home win against Eastern Michigan and an 80-70 road loss against Bowling Green.

Offensively, Toledo averages 81.2 points per game, while allowing 76.9 points per game defensively. The Rockets shoot with 48% from the field and grab 34.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.8 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Sonny Wilson leads Toledo in scoring, with an average of 17.3 points per game, while shooting with 49.3% from the field and 71.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.5 assists. Sean Craig is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.4 per game.

Toledo Rockets @ Miami RedHawks Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the Miami RedHawks will win

  • Miami (OH) has won each of its last 30 games at John D. Millett Hall.
  • Toledo has lost three of its last four road night games against Conference opponents.
  • Toledo has lost the first half in each of its last seven road games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

  • Toledo has won four of its last five games.
  • Toledo has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Toledo’s last eight road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 166+ points.
  • Five of Miami (OH)’s last six night games at John D. Millett Hall have produced a total of 163+ points.

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction

In this Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Miami (OH) is coming as -8.5 home favorites. Miami (OH) has been the far better team this season and the only undefeated squad in the whole country. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 8-4 ATS at home, while Toledo has three consecutive wins. Miami (OH) is the absolute favorite but I’m not sure they can cover so I will focus on the total, as both teams are 9-3 to the under in their last 12 games combined and their previous meeting this season also went under the total. Take the under 162.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 162.5

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