Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

The Texas Longhorns and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum. Here’s a Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Texas vs Mississippi State Pick.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns (16-13, 13-15-1 ATS) are enduring their worst period of the season after losing seven of the previous nine games. Texas managed to beat Kentucky but then lost three straight to South Carolina, Arkansas, and Georgia, allowing 83+ points in each of those defeats. Texas is 13th in the SEC Standings with three games behind Mississippi State and three more than the last-placed South Carolina.

Texas averages 78.0 PPG (82nd) and allows 70.8 PPG (146th). The Longhorns are 197th in rebounds (35.4) and 233rd in assists (13.4). Tre Johnson leads the team with 20.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and 2.6 APG. Arthur Kaluma follows him with 12.8 PPG, a team-high 7.9 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.0 BPG, while Jordan Pope has 10.7 PPG and a team-high 1.2 SPG. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-9, 13-16 ATS) have been rather inconsistent of late. Mississippi State returned home from a two-game road trip during which they lost to Oklahoma and Alabama and beat LSU 81-69. Allowing only 69 points after conceding 111 to Alabama and 93 to Oklahoma is certainly a sign of encouragement. Mississippi State is 8th in the SEC Standings with the same record as Vanderbilt and Kentucky.

Mississippi State is averaging 79.1 PPG (61st) and is allowing 73.1 PPG (215th). The Bulldogs are getting 38.4 RPG (49th) and dish out 15.2 APG (88th). Josh Hubbard is the team’s top scorer with 18.4 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 3.3 APG, and 1.0 SPG. KeShawn Murphy adds 11.6 PPG, a team-high 7.6 RPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG, while Claudell Harris Jr. contributes 9.8 PPG and 2.9 RPG.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last four games against Conference opponents at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Five of Texas’ last six games have produced a total of 153+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.7).
• Mississippi State ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (38.4).
• Texas ranks T37th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.6).

Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction

Texas is struggling defensively, allowing 83+ points in five of the previous six games. Mississippi State allowed 204 combined points against Alabama and Oklahoma, and I am pretty sure both defenses will have a problem here. Both teams have positive Over/Under records this season (Texas is 17-11-1 and Mississippi State is 17-12), and I am backing them to combine for at least 152 points. Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of its last 34 games, while Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of its last 20 games at home. Back the Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 151.5