Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Vanderbilt University Memorial Gym. Here’s an Arkansas vs Vanderbilt prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arkansas vs Vanderbilt pick. We will examine: 

The Arkansas Razorbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Vanderbilt Commodores’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arkansas Razorbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Vanderbilt Commodores

Recent betting trends in games played between Arkansas and Vanderbilt

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt game

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

Back in late December, the Razorbacks were looking great record-wise, but since then it’s been a pretty rough run. Arkansas hit a nice 11-2 run to open the year, then lost to Tennessee, Ole Miss, Florida, LSU, and Missouri in the next five. A 4-2 run came next with losses to Oklahoma and Alabama among wins over Georgia, Kentucky, Texas, and LSU. Since then it’s been a rocky 2-3 stretch though, with wins over only Missouri and Texas. The Razorbacks have taken losses to Texas A&M, Auburn, and South Carolina otherwise during that time, giving the team a 17-12 overall record across 29 games so far this season. 

In the South Carolina matchup back on Saturday, the Razorbacks came out of the first half with a 32-14 deficit. Arkansas didn’t end up getting any closer than that on a 40-39 second and took the loss 72-53 in the end. Leading the team in scoring was Karter Knox with 11 points, five assists, and two steals in 35 minutes of work. Jonas Aidoo came off the bench for 10 points and 10 rebounds alongside two steals, and DJ Wagner chipped in with eight points and two rebounds in 31 minutes of work. 

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Over on the Vanderbilt side, they had a pretty rough run going back in January and February, but outside of that, it’s been a great season. The Commodores blitzed through the first 14 games on a 13-1 run with a lone loss to Drake, then took consecutive defeats versus Mississippi State and Missouri. Vanderbilt would go 4-3 in the next seven with wins over South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Texas among losses to Alabama, Oklahoma, and Florida. After losses to Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky, the Commodores took out Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Missouri in the next three. That gives Vanderbilt a 20-9 record thus far across the first 29 outings of the 2024-25 campaign. 

Matched up against Missouri on Saturday, the Commodores opened up with a 38-29 deficit in the first half. Vanderbilt stormed back with 52 points to force overtime and eventually won 97-93. Topping the scorers was Chris Manon with 23 points and 11 rebounds for a double-double. AJ Hoggard wasn’t far behind with 21 points, six assists, three rebounds, and two steals, while Jason Edwards added 17 points with four assists and three steals. MJ Collins chipped in seven points off the bench in 17 minutes of work as well. 

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

• The home team has won each of Arkansas’ last six games.
• Arkansas has lost each of its last three road games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Arkansas has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against Conference opponents.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Vanderbilt has lost seven of its last eight night games against Conference opponents.
• Arkansas has won four of its last five games at Memorial Gymnasium.
• Arkansas has won the first half in five of its last six road night games against Conference opponents.

Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Prediction 

I’ll lean toward Vanderbilt here. The Commodores posted a great win over a strong Missouri team in their last outing, shooting a smooth 50 percent from the field and 21-of-24 (87.5 percent) from 3-point range. Vanderbilt owned the boards 39-28 but also coughed up 14 turnovers for 17 points. Still an excellent home victory, but there’s room for improvement ball-control-wise. That makes three straight wins for the Commodores with 77 or more points scored in each. 

As for Arkansas, they shot a miserable 28.8 percent from the field with 13 turnovers for 15 South Carolina points in their latest loss. The Razorbacks had been playing better in the two games before that, however. Still, I think Vanderbilt is in the driver’s seat for this matchup.