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LSU vs Kentucky Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Kentucky (19-10) vs LSU (14-15)
March 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky -12.5 — Over/Under: 157.5
In this article, we will formulate an LSU vs Kentucky Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 4th, at the Dahlberg Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:
-The Tigers’ recent form and recent player performanceÂ
-The Wildcats’ recent form and recent player performance
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kentucky
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving LSU
-Recent betting trends in games played between Kentucky and LSU
-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Tigers and Wildcats.Â
What an Awful season for LSU
LSU has had an awful season and they just keep losing games. In the last game against Mississippi State, LSU scored only 69 points, while the defense gave up 81 points. At halftime, they were up 37-35, but in the second half, the defense gave up 46 points, which led to the defeat. LSU shot only 39.1 percent from the field and 25 percent from deep. They also allowed Mississippi State to shoot 56.9 percent from the field.Â
LSU has a 14-15 record, and away from home, they have only gone 2-7. LSU has been a strong offensive team, but their defense has been an issue. They are giving up 72.5 points per game, and if they want any chance here. That defense can’t be bad again. Cam Carter has been the top player, averaging 16.9 points, shooting 43.7 percent from the field and 39.6 percent from behind the three-point line. If they want any chance to come away with success in this game, the defense is going to need to be better. If the defense struggles, this is going to be a very long game.Â
How Does Kentucky Bounce Back?
Kentucky has played pretty well this season, but they faced off against Auburn in the last game and didn’t play well enough. Kentucky scored 78 points, but Auburn scored 94 points and that led to the defeat. Kentucky only shot 23.5 percent from deep, and hitting a few more three-pointers in this game would go a long way. Koby Brea had a strong game, putting up 21 points, six rebounds, and one assist.Â
Kentucky sits with a 19-10 record overall and they have gone 14-14-1 against the spread. This season, Kentucky’s offense is averaging 85.3 points, and they will need to run up the score here. The defense might not need to improve before the tournament, but at least in this game, it will be all about the offense. Otega Oweh has been the top player for Kentucky, averaging 15.7 points while shooting 48.8 percent from the field and 33.8 percent from behind the three-point line. The faster the pace is for this game, the better the chance that Kentucky will come away with their 20th win of the season.Â
Why Kentucky Will Beat LSU
- LSU has lost each of its last 10 road night games against Conference opponents.
- Kentucky has won 12 of its last 13 night games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last eight night games between LSU and Kentucky has produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
- Eleven of LSU’s last 12 night games have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
LSU vs Kentucky Prediction
Kentucky is coming off a disappointing loss, but they will have no problem putting on a show here. This LSU offense is fine, but their defense has shown too many times this season to struggle, and this will be one of their worst defensive games. Kentucky is averaging 85.3 points, and they will have no issues with the offense. I expect Kentucky is going to go above and beyond their season average. LSU might stick around for a half, but in the second half, the Kentucky scoring options will prove to be too much. Back Kentucky against the spread.Â