Texas vs Duke Prediction 11/4/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Duke Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Duke Blue Devils Preview

The Duke Blue Devils finished last season a 35-4 record and were placed 1st in the ACC with a 19-1 conference record. The Blue Devils were 25-14-0 against the spread, and 20-18-1 in over/under, having a 17-0 home record and a 10-1 away record. Duke made it all the way to the Final Four last season, where they got defeated 70-67 by Houston in the semifinals.

Offensively last season, Duke scored 83.2 points per game, which ranked 11th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 62.8 points per game (7th). The Blue Devils shot with 49.3% from the field (7th), and with 38.6% from beyond the arc (12th). They shot with 79.0% from the free throw line (11th), and grabbed 38.2 rebounds per game (45th), while dishing out 17.0 assists per game (17th) and committing 9.3 turnovers per game (8th).

Cooper Flagg led Duke in scoring last season, with an average of 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists. Kon Knueppel followed with 14.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, while Tyrese Proctor added 12.4 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game.

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Texas Longhorns finished last season a 19-16 record and were placed 13th in the SEC with a 6-12 conference record. The Longhorns were 16-18-1 against the spread, and 22-12-1 in over/under, having a 11-7 home record and a 4-6 away record.

Offensively last season, Texas scored 78.5 points per game, which ranked 65th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 72.6 points per game (203rd). The Longhorns shot with 46.3% from the field (93rd), and with 36.2% from beyond the arc (61st). They shot with 74.9% from the free throw line (82nd), and grabbed 35.7 rebounds per game (155th), while dishing out 12.9 assists per game (231st) and committing 9.9 turnovers per game (30th).

Tre Johnson led Texas in scoring last season, with an average of 19.9 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists. Arthur Kaluma followed with 12.3 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, while Jordan Pope added 11.0 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game.

Texas Longhorns @ Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends: November 4, 2025

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Texas has lost each of its last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Duke has won the first half in each of its last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won eight of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Texas has won the first half in each of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Duke’s last six games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Twenty-eight of Texas’ last 31 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Texas vs Duke Prediction

Duke has won both meetings against Texas, but are 1-1 against the spread as both games went over the total. In this Texas vs Duke Prediction, Duke is coming as -8.5 home favorites. Duke is coming off one of their best seasons in recent memory and were a top-11 team in the country both offensively and defensively, winning by an average of 20.4 points per game. They were undefeated in their 17 home games, while Texas ranked outside the top-200 defensively and they will have big trouble with Duke’s offense. Take Duke to win easily in their season opener in front of their home crowd.