Texas State vs Bowling Green Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and Bowling Green Falcons meet Monday in the college basketball action at the Stroh Center. Here’s a Texas State vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Texas State vs Bowling Green Pick.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats won 16 games last season and enter year six under coach Terrence Johnson.

Mark Drone returns after averaging 11.5 points and 2.8 assists, while Kaden Gumbs averaged 11 points and 3.4 rebounds. Those are the only two returning players for Texas State, which leaves major question marks with so many new faces. However, Drone and Gumbs were double-digit scorers last season, so if there were guys who you’d want back in the mix, it’s probably those two. Gumbs does a bit of everything and could be one of the best players in the Sun Belt with more of an expanded role.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons won 14 games last season and enter year two under coach Todd Simon.

Javontae Campbell returns after averaging 14.9 points and 3.1 assists, while Sam Towns averaged 6.3 points and 7 rebounds. Greg Spurgin averaged 2.3 points and 0 assists, and Preston Squire played in 145 minutes last season. Bowling Green is more stable now that Simon has a year under his belt, and Campbell is the leader of this squad after making All-MAC honors last year and being one of the best defenders in the conference. Bowling Green will need more to make a real push toward a conference title, but the Falcons have one of the best players in the conference, and it gives them a fighting chance.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Texas State has lost four of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Bowling Green has won nine of its last 10 Monday games at Stroh Center.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Bowling Green has lost four of its last five night games at Stroh Center.
• Texas State has won the first half in four of its last five night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green’s last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
• Six of Texas State’s last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas State ranked 46th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage last season (36.7%).

Texas State vs Bowling Green Injury Report

Neither Texas State nor Bowling Green have a player listed on its injury report.

Texas State vs Bowling Green Prediction

Bowling Green will have the best player on the floor and that probably is the edge in this line, but you can argue Texas State has the better depth. I wouldn’t be surprised if Texas State won this game outright, as outside of Campbell, there are a lot of question marks. I’ll take my chances with the points and would even sprinkle the ML with Texas State in this season opener on Monday.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas St +4.5