Dec 1, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA;  Tarleton State Texans guard Freddy Hicks (2) drives to the basket against Cincinnati Bearcats forward Baba Miller (18) in the second half at Fifth Third Arena. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

Tarleton vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction 12/16/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Tarleton Texans Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Team Records 7-4 1-9
Where R.W. Harrison HPER Complex, Itta Bena, MS
When Tuesday, December 16, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST

In this article, we will formulate a Tarleton State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, December 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview


Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 1-9 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Southwestern Athletic. They have a 1-0 home record and are coming off a 49-108 away loss against Kansas State. Their previous three games were a 52-66 away loss against UL Monroe, a 84-120 away loss against Texas A&M and a 70-86 away loss against Cal State Bakersfield.

Offensively, Mississippi Valley State averages 67.1 points per game, while allowing 90.4 points per game defensively. The Delta Devils shoot with 40% from the field and grab 32.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.7 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively. M. James leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring, with an average of 20 points per game, while shooting with 43.3% from the field and 97.2% from the free throw line.

Tarleton State Texans Preview


Tarleton State Texans have a 7-4 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the Western Athletic. They have a 1-4 away record and are coming off a 93-63 home win against Cameron. Their previous three games were a 119-54 home win against Howard Payne, a 58-76 away loss against Cincinnati and a 67-57 home win against Middle Tennessee.

Offensively, Tarleton State averages 80.2 points per game, while allowing 73 points per game defensively. The Texans shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 10.5 steals per game defensively. F. Hicks leads Tarleton State in scoring, with an average of 12.3 points per game, while shooting with 43.8% from the field and 73.5% from the free throw line.

Tarleton State Texans @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Betting Trends: December 16, 2025


Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win

  • Tarleton State has lost 10 of its last 11 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • The home team has won each of Tarleton State’s last four games.
  • Tarleton State has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Tarleton State Texans will win

  • Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 42 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Tarleton State has won five of its last six games.
  • Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in each of its last 57 night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Mississippi Valley State’s last six games have produced a total of 153+ points.
  • Four of Tarleton State’s last five road games have produced a total of 156+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (30.4).
  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (22.5).
  • Tarleton State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.7).
  • Tarleton State ranks T361st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (16.2).

Tarleton State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction


In this Tarleton State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction, Tarleton State is coming as -17 road favorites. Tarleton State has been the far better team this season, as they are facing a terrible Mississippi Valley State squad that has only one win in its 10 games played so far. Tarleton State is 5-1 in its last 6 games and has been almost perfect against the spread this season with a 6-1 record. They are superior both offensively and defensively, having a +7.2 point differential, as opposed to Mississippi Valley State’s -23.3 point differential. Get the better team to win this one comfortably, so take Tarleton State and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tarleton State -17

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