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St. Francis (PA) vs Alabama State Prediction 3/18/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Alabama State (19-15) vs St. Francis (PA) (16-17)
March 18, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama State -4.5 — Over/Under: 139.5
The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash and Alabama State Hornets meet Tuesday in the college basketball First Four at the UD Arena. Here’s a Alabama State vs St. Francis (PA) Prediction. This article will include a Alabama State vs St. Francis (PA) Pick. The winner of this game will play Auburn in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash Betting Preview
The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash are coming off wins over Chicago State, Wagner, Long Island, and Central Connecticut. St. Francis (PA) went from 10-17 to winning six straight games.
The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash are averaging 72.4 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 73.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Riley Parker is averaging 13.4 points and 3.4 assists, while Ace Talbert is averaging 10.2 points and 2.8 rebounds. Valentino Pinedo is the third double-digit scorer and Juan Cranford Jr. is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game.
Alabama State Hornets Betting Preview
The Alabama State Hornets are coming off wins over Southern, Grambling, Texas Southern, and Jackson State. Alabama State went from 9-14 to winning 10 of its last 11 games.
The Alabama State Hornets are averaging 73.4 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 72.3 points on 43.5 percent shooting. CJ Hines is averaging 14.4 points and 3 rebounds, while Amarr Knox is averaging 14.3 points and 2 rebounds. TJ Madlock is the third double-digit scorer and Micah Simpson is grabbing 1.6 rebounds. The Alabama State Hornets are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama State Hornets are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Alabama State Hornets will win
- Alabama State has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Saint Francis has lost seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
- Saint Francis has lost the first half in 12 of its last 15 night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Saint Francis Red Flash will win
- Saint Francis has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Alabama State has lost seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Alabama State’s last eight night games have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Each of Saint Francis’ last three games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.7).
- Alabama State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.2).
- Saint Francis ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.2%).
Alabama State vs St. Francis (PA) Injury Report
Neither Alabama State nor St. Francis (PA) has a player listed on its injury report.
Alabama State vs St. Francis (PA) Prediction
It’s kind of strange to see Alabama State as this big of a favorite when you consider St. Francis (PA) is playing the better basketball right now. St. Francis (PA) is also comfortably the better offensive side, which includes being a top-100 offensive field goal percentage team. Alabama State doesn’t shoot the ball well at all and has scored 64 or fewer points in five of its last eight games. If St. Francis (PA) can hit shots and control the pace, I don’t believe Alabama State has the horses to counter. There should also be more red in the building than anything considering it’s only a five-hour car ride to Dayton from St. Francis.
This is a winnable game for St. Francis (PA) and really comes down to if the offense plays true to its numbers. If so, we’ll see an upset in the first NCAA Tournament game. Give me St. Francis (PA) and the points.