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Southern vs Baylor Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Southern Jaguars | Baylor Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-7 | 8-2 |
| Where | Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX | |
| When | Sunday, December 21, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | TNT | |
Baylor Bears Preview
Baylor Bears have an 8-2 record this season and are sitting in 8th place of the Big 12. They have a 6-0 home record and are coming off a 113-56 home win against Alcorn State. Their previous three games were a 97-67 home win against Norfolk State, a 78-71 away loss against Memphis, and a 110-88 home win against Sacramento State.
Offensively, Baylor averages 91.2 points per game, while allowing 77.1 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 49% from the field and grab 40.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.5 assists per game. They average 4.5 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.
Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring, with an average of 21.7 points per game, while shooting with 57.5% from the field and 81.7% from the free throw line. Dan Skillings Jr. leads the team in rebounds with 7.4 per game, while Obi Agbim adds a team-high 3.8 assists per game.
Southern Jaguars Preview
Southern Jaguars have a 4-7 record this season and are sitting in 4th place of the SWAC. They have a 1-7 away record and are coming off a 75-67 away loss against California Baptist. Their previous three games were an 86-83 away loss against Texas State, a 95-69 away loss against Texas, and a 101-48 home win against La Charrería.
Offensively, Southern averages 87 points per game, while allowing 80 points per game defensively. The Jaguars shoot with 48% from the field and grab 37.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.7 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 11.1 steals per game defensively.
Michael Jacobs leads Southern in scoring, with an average of 21.0 points per game, while shooting with 50.4% from the field and 61.5% from the free throw line. Malek Abdelgowad leads the team in rebounds with 7.5 per game, while Michael Jacobs also leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.
Southern Jaguars @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: December 21, 2025
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won each of its last 10 games at Foster Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Southern has lost 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Baylor has won the first half in each of its last nine games at Foster Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Southern Jaguars will win
- Southern has won 11 of its last 12 day games.
- Southern has won the first half in each of its last seven day games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Baylor’s last 11 Sunday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
- Fifteen of Southern’s last 16 day games have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
Southern vs Baylor Prediction
In this Southern vs Baylor Prediction, Baylor is coming as -25 home favorites. Baylor has been the far better team this season, as they have lost only twice in their ten games played and have been undefeated at home, while Southern has been atrocious on the road with a 1-7 record. Baylor has been better both offensively and defensively, having a +14.1 point differential this season and are 3-0 against the spread in their last three home games, so I expect them to win and cover in this matchup. Take Baylor and lay the points.
