South Florida vs Memphis Prediction 3/7/25 College Basketball Picks

The South Florida Bulls and Memphis Tigers meet on Friday in college basketball action at FedExForum. Here’s a South Florida vs Memphis prediction. This article will include a South Florida vs Memphis Pick.

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The South Florida Bulls (13-17, 9-20 ATS) managed to snap the previous three-game losing streak with a road win over UTSA, but they returned to losing ways against North Texas, Temple, and FAU. The Bulls are 9th in the American Standings with a win ahead of UTSA and Tulsa, and nine games behind the leaders Memphis.

South Florida averages 74.8 PPG (156th) and allows 74.3 PPG (255th). The Bulls are 261st in rebounds (34.5) and 127th in assists (14.6). Jamille Reynolds leads the team with 12.9 PPG, a team-high 7.7 RPG, and a team-high 1.6 BPG. Jayden Reid follows him with 12.2 PPG, 2.6 RPG, a team-high 3.6 APG, and a team-high 1.8 SPG, while Kobe Knox has 10.7 PPG, 2.8 RPG, and 1.0 SPG.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Memphis Tigers (25-5, 14-16 ATS) lost only two games in 2025. They were on an eight-game winning streak before Wichita State stopped them with an 84-79 overtime win, but the Tigers did win the following four games, defeating FAU, Rice, UAB, and UTSA. The last two wins came on the road. Memphis is 1st in the American Standings with a win ahead of North Texas, but considering they beat the Mean Green this season and have a better overall record, the Tigers already clinched the No. 1 seed.

Memphis is averaging 79.9 PPG (50th) and is allowing 73.1 PPG (216th). The Tigers are getting 36.5 RPG (135th) and dish out 14.3 APG (146th). PJ Haggerty is the team’s top scorer with 21.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, a team-high 3.7 APG, and a team-high 1.8 SPG. Tyrese Hunter adds 14.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.3 APG, and 1.4 SPG, while Dain Dainja contributes 13.5 PPG, a team-high 7.1 RPG, and 1.2 BPG.

Why South Florida will cover

• South Florida has won 16 of its last 20 night games against the American Athletic Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-seven of South Florida’s last 31 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Five of Memphis’ last six night games at FedExForum have produced a total of 152+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Memphis ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.3).
• Memphis ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.6%).

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction

It’s clear who’s the better team here, but I am not sure Memphis will risk its key players and starters in this one. After all, the Tigers already secured the No. 1 seed and will try to stay healthy and fresh for the conference tourney and later for the Big Dance. I am not saying Memphis will lose to USF, but South Florida also enters this game without pressure, so I don’t what to expect. Memphis has only covered the Spread in 5 of its last 15 games at home, and if the hosts decide to rest their stars, USF will be close to covering this game. I am backing the visitors to do it.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: South Florida +13.5