Nov 14, 2013; Memphis, TN, USA; Memphis Tigers cheerleaders perform during a timeout against the Austin Peay Governors during the first half at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Justin Ford-Imagn Images
Justin Ford-Imagn Images

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP South Florida Bulls Memphis Tigers
Team Records 21-8 12-17
Spread -6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
Moneyline -285 +230
Total Over 159.5 (-115) Under 159.5 (-105)
Where FedExForum, Memphis, TN
When Thursday, March 5, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN2

The South Florida Bulls and the Memphis Tigers meet Thursday in college basketball action from FedExForum. Here’s a South Florida vs Memphis prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best South Florida vs Memphis pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The Bulls have played pretty well overall this season. The only real trouble spot was a 1-3 run back in November, but aside from that South Florida has avoided consecutive losses. USF is sitting on a seven-game win streak right now, dispatching UTSA, Tulsa, Wichita State, Florida Atlantic, Memphis, Rice and Tulane in that time for a 21-8 overall record this year.

In the Tulane game on Sunday the Bulls were sitting in the locker room at halftime looking up at a pretty comfortable 49-38 edge. South Florida wasn’t done, though; they hit a 41-24 run in the second half on the way to a blowout victory on their home court 90-62. Topping the scorers was Wes Enis with 25 points while Josh Omojafo added 16 points with 10 boards. Izaiyah Nelson had 14 points with 13 rebounds as well.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Memphis side, they started the year at 9-8 overall, then lost to Tulsa, Wichita State and Tulane in the next four outings. After wins versus UAB and Charlotte the Tigers took losses to North Texas, Utah State, South Florida and UAB in the next four outings. Memphis would then lose two more versus Wichita State and East Carolina for a 12-17 record so far this year.

In the East Carolina matchup over the weekend the Tigers came back out on the floor after halftime with a 44-30 deficit. Memphis didn’t end up getting any closer on a 40-38 run from there and lost the game 84-68 in the end. Leading the team in scoring during the losing effort was Julius Thedford with 16 points and nine rebounds alongside three steals in 25 minutes.

South Florida Bulls @ Memphis Tigers Betting Trends: March 5, 2026

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 31 of its last 35 night games at FedExForum.
  • South Florida has lost three of its last four night games at FedExForum.
  • South Florida has lost the first half in three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • South Florida has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Memphis has lost each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • South Florida has won the first half in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction

I’ll stick with South Florida. The Bulls took out a pretty solid Tulane team without too much issue over the weekend, hitting 44.8 percent from the field with 84 percent (21-of-25) from the line. USF added a 41-29 rebounding advantage and 20 points off 10 Wave turnovers. The Bulls are riding a seven-game win streak right now and they’ve won 10 of the last 11 outings.

These teams last met up back on February 19 in an 87-66 home victory for South Florida. In that one USF posted just 36.4 percent shooting from the field and 10 turnovers. The good news is that the Bulls had 85.7 percent (30-of-35) from the line and a 45-33 rebounding edge alongside just 32.8 percent shooting allowed on defense. South Florida needs to get that shooting percentage up in the road rematch but I think they’ll pull it off.

Andrew Jett's Pick: South Florida Bulls -6.5

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • Sacred Heart vs Iona Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Howard vs Norfolk State Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Louisiana Tech vs Liberty Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Bucknell vs Navy Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Holy Cross vs Lehigh Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Mississippi Valley State vs Jackson State Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • Michigan vs Iowa Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026

  • South Florida vs Memphis Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

    March 5, 2026