Pick details
| MATCHUP | Santa Clara Broncos | North Texas Mean Green |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Spread | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -162 | +136 |
| Total | Over 150.5 (-115) | Under 150.5 (-105) |
| Where | The Super Pit, Denton, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Santa Clara vs North Texas Prediction
In this Santa Clara vs North Texas Prediction, Santa Clara is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Both team have been undefeated this season but North Texas has better numbers both offensively and defensively, inflated by a 72-point win against a Division II team. The Broncos has been excellent offensively, ranking on the top-85 of the entire nation in points per game and are 2-1 to the over this season, while the Mean Green have gone over in their two games against Division I teams, with 80.5 ppg for and 78.5 ppg against. I don’t see value on either side of this matchup, so I will go over the point total.
North Texas Mean Green Preview
The North Texas Mean Green have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record. They are coming off a 77-67 home win against McNeese and will face South Alabama and Appalachian State next.
Offensively, they are averaging 99.5 points per game (ranking 24th in the nation), while allowing 58.5 points per game defensively (ranking 41st in the nation) and have a 135.4 offensive rating (ranking 14th) and a 79.6 defensive rating (ranking 36th). The Mean Green are shooting 52.6% from the field (ranking 33rd) and 35.4% from beyond the arc (ranking 165th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 33.3% from the field (ranking 27th) and 28.8% from the 3-point range (ranking 122nd). They are shooting with a 72.4% from the free-throw line (ranking 129th). They are grabbing 49 rebounds per game (ranking 17th) and allow 29.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (52nd), while averaging 14.5 assists per game (ranking 208th) and allowing their opponents to dish 11.5 assists per game (112th). They average 3.5 blocks per game (ranking 173rd) and 10 steals per game (ranking 71st), while committing 11.5 turnovers per game (ranking 119th) and forcing their opponents into 18 turnovers per game (ranking 48th).
Je’Shawn Stevenson leads North Texas in scoring, averaging 22.5 ppg on 54.5% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 assists per game. Aeneas Alexander follows with 16 ppg on 50% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 7 rebounds per game. Cash Chavis follows with 14.5 ppg on 47.1% shooting from the field. Amar Amkou follows with 10.5 ppg on 46.7% shooting from the field.
Santa Clara Broncos Preview
The Santa Clara Broncos have a 3-0 overall record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 83-77 home win against Sacramento State and will face New Mexico and Virginia Commonwealth next.
Offensively, they are averaging 89 points per game (ranking 84th in the nation), while allowing 73 points per game defensively (ranking 196th in the nation) and have a 113.0 offensive rating (ranking 168th) and a 92.7 defensive rating (ranking 118th). The Broncos are shooting 44.6% from the field (ranking 204th) and 37.6% from beyond the arc (ranking 88th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 37.8% from the field (ranking 94th) and 28.4% from the 3-point range (ranking 116th). They are shooting with a 80.6% from the free-throw line (ranking 31st). They are grabbing 41 rebounds per game (ranking 110th) and allow 40.7 rebounds per game off their opponents (310th), while averaging 22.3 assists per game (ranking 25th) and allowing their opponents to dish 12 assists per game (138th). They average 4.3 blocks per game (ranking 120th) and 10 steals per game (ranking 71st), while committing 12.7 turnovers per game (ranking 189th) and forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers per game (ranking 97th).
David Castillo leads Santa Clara in scoring, averaging 13.3 ppg on 40% shooting from the field. Sash Gavalyugov follows with 12.3 ppg on 33.3% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 assists per game. Brad Longcor follows with 12 ppg on 38.5% shooting from the field. Chris Tadjo leads the team in rebounds with 6.7 per game.
Santa Clara Broncos @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: November 11, 2026
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last 22 night games against non-Conference opponents at The Super Pit.
Why the Santa Clara Broncos will win
- Santa Clara has won 11 of its last 12 night games against non-Conference opponents.
- North Texas has lost each of its last three games against the West Coast Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Twenty-three of North Texas’ last 25 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at The Super Pit have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Nine of Santa Clara’s last 10 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (62.4%).
- North Texas ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (49.0).
- Santa Clara ranks T37th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.7).
- Santa Clara ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (68.0).
