San Diego State vs UNLV Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

The San Diego State Aztecs are visiting the UNLV Rebels on Tuesday, March 4th at the Thomas & Mack Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Prediction. We will examine:

The UNLV Rebels’ recent form and player performance

The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UNLV Rebels

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs

Recent betting trends in games played between the San Diego State Aztecs and UNLV Rebels

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels game

UNLV Rebels Preview

The UNLV Rebels have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting in 6th place in the Mountain West. UNLV is coming off a 68-55 win over Nevada. The Rebels are 12-16-1 against the spread, and 12-17 in over/under while having an 11-5 home record.

Offensively, UNLV is averaging 69.6 points per game, which ranks 274th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68 points per game (67th). The Rebels shoot 44.4% from the field (208th) and 33.5% from beyond the arc (218th). The Rebels shoot 72.3% from the free-throw line (178th) and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game (278th).

Dedan Thomas leads UNLV in scoring this season, with an average of 15.6 points and a team-high 4.7 assists, while Jailen Bedford adds 10.1 points and 3.9 rebounds per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 20-7 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the Mountain West. San Diego State is coming off a 72-69 win in Wyoming. The Aztecs are 11-15 against the spread, and 12-13-1 in over/under, while having a 6-3 road record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 71.4 points per game, which ranks 256th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.4 points per game, which is the 13th-best in the nation. The Aztecs shoot 44.4% from the field (210th) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (205th). The Aztecs shoot 67.5% from the free-throw line (323rd) and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (143rd).

Myles Bird leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 12.9 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 12.8 points, 4 rebounds, and a team-high 4 assists per game.

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

• UNLV has won five of its last six games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of San Diego State’s last eight games.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won 10 of its last 11 night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
• San Diego State has won the first half in three of its last four night games against UNLV.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of San Diego State’s last eight night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 131+ points.
• Six of the last seven games between San Diego State and UNLV have produced a total of 133+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UNLV ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.3).
• San Diego State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.4%).
• San Diego State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.8).

San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Prediction

San Diego State is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against UNLV, but UNLV is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, UNLV won 76-68 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, San Diego is coming as -3.5 road favorites. San Diego is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been good on the road. Both teams have been playing good basketball lately, as the Rebels are 5-1 in their last 6 games and the Aztecs are 8-2 in their last 10. San Diego has trouble covering spreads, as they are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 road games. UNLV has already won San Diego State once this season, and on the road, and given both teams’ current form, I expect UNLV to do it again. Take the UNLV Rebels and the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UNLV Rebels +3.5