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Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction 1/30/25 College Basketball Picks

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Montana State (8-13) vs Sacramento State (6-14)

January 30, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Montana State -11 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento State Hornets are visiting the Montana State Bobcats on Thursday, January 30th at the Worthington Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Prediction. We will examine:

The Montana State Bobcats’ recent form and player performance

The Sacramento State Hornets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Montana State Bobcats

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sacramento State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between Sacramento State Hornets and Montana State Bobcats

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats game

Montana State Bobcats Preview

The Montana State Bobcats have an 8-13 record this season and are sitting in the 7th place in the Big Sky. Montana State is coming off a 70-77 loss to Montana. The Bobcats are 8-12 against the spread, and 10-10 in over/under, while having a 6-2 home record.

Offensively, Montana State averages 71.8 points per game, which ranks 251st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.5 points per game (151st). The Bobcats shoot 44.9% from the field (173rd) and 34.2% from beyond the arc (167th). The Bobcats shoot 72.6% from the free throw line (155th) and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game (341st).

Brandon Walker leads Montana State in scoring this season, with an average of 15.1 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Max Agbonkpolo adds 11.6 points and a team-high 4.9 rebounds.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 6-14 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big Sky. Sacramento State is coming off an 81-87 loss to Weber State. The Hornets are 6-10-1 against the spread, and 5-12 in over/under while having a 1-7 road record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 66.9 points per game, which ranks 337th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.4 points per game (66th). The Hornets shoot 42.7% from the field (291st) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (245th). The Hornets shoot 66.8% from the free-throw line (321st) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (235th).

Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and a team-high 6.8 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 11.1 points and 3.2 rebounds per game.  

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

  • Sacramento State has lost each of its last eight Thursday road games.
  • Montana State has won seven of its last eight night games at Worthington Arena.
  • Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • Montana State has lost five of its last six games following a road loss.
  • Montana State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games against the Big Sky Conference.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Head-to-Head

Montana State is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against Sacramento State and is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings and in their most recent meeting last season, Montana State won 74-71 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Prediction

In this Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Prediction, Montana State is coming as -11 home favorites. The Bobcats have been very good at home, while the Hornets are struggling on the road and have been in terrible form lately, as they are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Montana State has also dominated this matchup in recent years, and I like them again in this spot. Take the Montana State Bobcats and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Montana State Bobcats -11

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