Pittsburgh vs SMU Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks

The Pitt Panthers and the SMU Mustangs meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Moody Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pitt vs. SMU prediction.

Pitt Recap

The Pitt Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 67-66 loss to North Carolina last time out to fall to 14-9 on the year. After this game, Pitt will head home for a matchup with Miami.

Panthers Lose 3rd In A Row

Jaland Lowe leads the Panthers in scoring and assists with 16.9 PPG and 5.3 APG along with 4.2 RPG and 1.7 SPG while Ishmael Leggett has 16.1 PPG with 5.7 RPG and 2.8 APG to lead the Panthers in rebounding. Damian Dunn has 10 PPG and Cameron Corhen has 10.7 PPG with 5.3 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Pitt up to this point in the year. Zack Austin also has 9.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Brandin Cummings also has 5.7 PPG while Guillermo Diaz Graham has 5.9 PPG with 4.9 RPG to lead the Panthers on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, Pitt is averaging 78 PPG on 46.5% shooting from the field, 35.9% from behind the arc, and 79.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win

• Pittsburgh has won 11 of its last 14 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

SMU Recap

The SMU Mustangs come into this one looking to build on an 81-75 win over Virginia Tech last time out to sit at 18-5 on the year. After this game, SMU will welcome Wake Forest to town.

Mustangs Win 4th Straight And 7th In Last 8

Boopie Miller leads the Mustangs in scoring and assists with 13.4 PPG and 5.8 APG while Chuck Harris has 12.7 PPG and Matt Cross has 11.9 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG to lead the Mustangs on the glass up to this point in the year. B.J. Edwards has 10.3 PPG with 4.2 RPG and 3.6 APG along with 2.3 SPG. Samet Yigitoglu has 10.7 PPG with 6.6 RPG as well on the year to cap off the scoring in double figures for SMU so far this season. Yohan Traore has 7 PPG with 3.9 RPG while Karlo Oquendo has 9.9 PPG with 2.9 RPG. As a team, SMU is averaging 82.8 PPG on 48% shooting from the field, 38.9% from three, and 73.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five road games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Pittsburgh’s last five games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Eight of SMU’s last 10 night games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) have produced a total of 156+ points.

Pitt vs. SMU Prediction

I’m with SMU here. I think we’re starting to see Pitt run out of steam a little bit, which is a bit concerning considering this Panthers team has been one of the ACC’s best road teams over the last couple of seasons. SMU has been one of the better ACC teams in their first year in their new digs, and I just trust SMU offensively more in this spot to be able to run past Pitt in this game. I’ll lay the points with SMU at home in this spot.