Northwestern's Jake West (3) and the Wildcats huddle up during the Indiana versus Northwestern men's basketball game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026.
Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Oregon Ducks Northwestern Wildcats
Team Records 11-17 12-16
Spread +3.5 -105 -3.5 -115
Moneyline +160 -192
Total Over 143.5 (-105) Under 143.5 (-115)
Where Welsh-Ryan Arena, Evanston, IL
When Saturday, February 28, 2026
Time 02:00 PM EST
TV BTN

In this article, we will formulate an Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Northwestern Wildcats Preview

The Northwestern Wildcats have a 12-16 overall record and a 4-13 record in the Big Ten conference. They are coming off a 72-68 road win against Indiana and their previous three games were a 78-74 home win against Maryland, a 68-49 road loss against Nebraska and an 87-75 home win against Michigan.

Offensively, Northwestern averages 74.1 points per game, while allowing 72.9 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 46% from the field and grab 31.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.1 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.

Nick Martinelli leads Northwestern in scoring, with an average of 22.6 points per game, while shooting with 50.5% from the field and 80.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.1 rebounds. Jayden Reid leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game.

Oregon Ducks Preview

The Oregon Ducks have an 11-17 overall record and a 4-13 record in the Big Ten conference. They are coming off an 85-71 home win against Wisconsin and their previous three games were a 71-70 road win against USC, a 61-44 home loss against Minnesota and an 83-72 home win against Penn State.

Offensively, Oregon averages 71.6 points per game, while allowing 74.1 points per game defensively. The Ducks shoot with 43% from the field and grab 34.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.1 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 6.2 steals per game defensively.

Nate Bittle leads Oregon in scoring, with an average of 16.9 points per game, while shooting with 45.7% from the field and 73.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.6 assists. Kwame Evans Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game.

Oregon Ducks @ Northwestern Wildcats Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Northwestern Wildcats will win

  • Northwestern has won 21 of its last 23 games at Welsh-Ryan Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Oregon has lost five of its last six road games against Conference opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Northwestern’s last six games.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Northwestern has lost 17 of its last 18 day games against Conference opponents.
  • Oregon has won 24 of its last 32 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Northwestern has lost the first half in each of its last four day games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Northwestern’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Welsh-Ryan Arena have produced a total of 146+ points.
  • Three of Oregon’s last four road games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction         

In this Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction, Northwestern is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season but Northwestern has been better against the spread and is coming off back-to-back wins. Oregon is 3-1 in its last 4 games but weaker both offensively and defensively, so I have to side with the home team in this one, as Northwestern is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 home games and is facing an Oregon team that has a -2.5 point differential this season. Take Northwestern and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Northwestern -3.5

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