Feb 27, 2026; Champaign, Illinois, USA;  Illinois Fighting Illini forward David Mirkovic (0) embraces Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) after a score during the second half against the Michigan Wolverines at State Farm Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-Imagn Images
Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

Oregon vs Illinois Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Oregon Ducks Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Records 11-18 22-7
Spread +18.5 -115 -18.5 -105
Moneyline +1300 -2800
Total Over 146.5 (-105) Under 146.5 (-115)
Where State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
When Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV Peacock

The Oregon Ducks and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the State Farm Center. Here’s an Oregon vs. Illinois Prediction. This article will include an Oregon vs. Illinois pick.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks beat Wisconsin and lost to Northwestern, and they play Washington next. Oregon has split its last 6 games.

The Oregon Ducks are averaging 71.3 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 69.6 points on 40 percent shooting. Nate Bittle is averaging 17 points and 7 rebounds, while Jackson Shelstad is averaging 15.6 points and 2.9 rebounds. Takai Simpkins is the third double-digit scorer and Kwame Evans Jr. is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Oregon Ducks are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 69.7 percent from the free throw line. The Oregon Ducks are allowing 29.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.4 rebounds per game.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini lost to UCLA and Michigan, and they play Maryland next. Illinois has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are averaging 84.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 68.1 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Keaton Wagler is averaging 18.1 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Andrej Stojakovic is averaging 14 points and 4.5 rebounds. Kylan Boswell is the third double-digit scorer and David Mirkovic is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

  • Illinois has won 17 of its last 18 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oregon has lost 13 of its last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oregon has lost the first half in each of its last seven night games against conference opponents.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Illinois has lost three of its last four night games against conference opponents.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of Illinois’ last four night games against conference opponents has produced a total of 154+ points.
  • Five of Oregon’s last six road games against conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Illinois ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (9.1).
  • Illinois ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (12.5).

Oregon vs Illinois Prediction

Oregon isn’t good and I’ve been banging the table all season for Illinois. The Fighting Illini check a lot of boxes and will be a tough out come tournament time. However, this line is nuts. Oregon still has capable players and let’s not act like we haven’t seen Illinois lose to UCLA and Wisconsin as big favorites recently. Illinois also didn’t put up much of a fight against Michigan. These last couple of weeks are the worst Illinois has looked all season. I’ll take my chances with the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oregon +18.5

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