Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction.

Ole Miss Rebels Recap

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 97-95 win over Georgia last time out. After this game, Ole Miss will head home for a game against Auburn.

Rebels Win Back-To-Back Games

Malik Dia leads the Rebels in scoring and rebounding with 15.1 PPG and 7.2 RPG while AJ Storr has 12.3 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 1.9 APG. Ilias Kamardine has 11.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG and a team-high 4.1 APG to lead the Rebels in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Ole Miss up to this point in the year. Patton Pinkins has 8 PPG and Kezza Giffa has 7.5 PPG up to this point in the year. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 75.2 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 74.1% from the foul line this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 97-82 loss at the hands of Alabama last time out to sit at 10-7 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road for a game against Texas A&M.

Bulldogs Drop Back-To-Back Games

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 22.8 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Epps has 15.6 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 6.7 PPG and a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 69.5% from the foul line this season.

Ole Miss Rebels @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends: January 17, 2026

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 17 of its last 18 games at Humphrey Coliseum when playing with a rest advantage.
• Ole Miss has lost each of its last four games at Humphrey Coliseum.
• Ole Miss has lost the first half in each of its last five night games against Conference opponents.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won 18 of its last 21 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost six of its last eight night games against Conference opponents at Humphrey Coliseum.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against Conference opponents at Humphrey Coliseum.

Total Points Facts

• Sixteen of Mississippi State’s last 17 night games have produced a total of 148+ points.
• Each of Ole Miss’ last five night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.7).
• Mississippi State ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.1).
• Ole Miss ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.8%).
• Ole Miss ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.9).

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction

I’m on Mississippi State here. I just think the Bulldogs are the better team here and with Ole Miss coming off of the emotional win over Georgia, I think the Rebels could be in for a bit og a letdown spot here. Give me Mississippi State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Mississippi State -4