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Ole Miss vs Iowa State Prediction 3/23/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Iowa State (25-9) vs Ole Miss (23-11)

March 23, 2025 at 07:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa State -5.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Iowa State prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, March 23rd at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels are 23-11 (10-8) this year after they defeated North Carolina by a score of 71-64 in their last game. Ole Miss led 44-26 at halftime, but they were outscored 38-27 in the second half in the win. The Rebels shot 44.4% from the field, 40% on three pointers, and 65.2% on free throws in the game. Sean Pedulla led Ole Miss with 20 points and six rebounds, while Dre Davis added 15 points and eight rebounds in the game. Ole Miss jumped out to a great start against North Carolina, but they played very poorly in the second half and they were lucky to escape with the win. 

Prior to that game, the Rebels lost to Auburn by a score of 62-57, but did beat Arkansas by a score of 83-80 before that. Ole Miss has won four of their last six games and they finished tied for sixth in the SEC standings with a 10-8 record. Ole Miss has scored 77 points per game and they have allowed 71.5 points against per game, while also averaging 33.3 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game this season. Sean Pedulla is averaging 15.0 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game, while Jaemyn Brakefield is averaging 10.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Ole Miss is shooting 44.2% from the field, 73.8% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this season. 

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones are 25-9 (13-7) this season after they defeated Lipscomb by a score of 82-55 in their last game. Iowa State led 40-24 at halftime and added 42 points in the second half for the easy win. The Cyclones shot 58.3% from the field, 36.8% on three pointers, and 62.5% on free throws in the game. Milan Momcilovic led Iowa State with 20 points and five rebounds, while Curtis Jones added 17 points and two assists in the game. Iowa State wasted very little time taking control of this game and their injury issues were never a problem in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Cyclones lost to BYU by a score of 96-92, but did beat Cincinnati by a score of 76-56 before that. Iowa State has won four of their last six games and they finished fifth in the Big 12 standings with a 13-7 record. Iowa State has scored 80.4 points per game and they have allowed 67.7 points against per game, while also averaging 35.4 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game this season. Curtis Jones is averaging 17.1 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game, while Joshua Jefferson is averaging 12.9 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game this year. Iowa State is shooting 48% from the field, 75.7% on free throws, and 35.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why Iowa State will beat Ole Miss 

  • Iowa State has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Ole Miss has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Ole Miss has lost the first half in each of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why Ole Miss will beat Iowa State 

  • Ole Miss has won 25 of its last 27 games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Iowa State’s last nine NCAA Tournament games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Each of Ole Miss’ last four night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Iowa State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.6).
  • Iowa State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+12.6).
  • Ole Miss ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.66).
  • Ole Miss ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.6).

David Racey is 28-14 (67%) in College Basketball over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Ole Miss vs Iowa State Prediction 

Iowa State was able to dominate Lipscomb in their opening game and their defense has led the way this season. The Cyclones have allowed 57 points or fewer in three of their last four games and their defense needs to play well, as Gilbert is out with an injury. Ole Miss played a very bad second half against UNC and nearly blew the game, but their defense has allowed just 64 and 62 points in their last two games. Iowa State’s injuries are definitely a concern, but I think we are going to see a lower scoring game, so I like the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 145.5

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